Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Martin Truex, Jr. – It was bound to happen. Truex cannot dominate every race. He wasn’t the best at Charlotte, but his average running position of 9th ranked 3rd. If you’re looking for a better explanation than the “you can’t win ‘em all” excuse, it’s possible that the 78 team didn’t make the best adjustment to the race being shifted to the day time. In the spring Kansas race, Truex almost tripled the amount of fast laps and laps led points scored by the second best car. Truex is highest rated driver at intermediate tracks this season.
2. Jimmie Johnson – Hendrick has found something. In the two intermediate track races in the playoffs, all four of their cars have been fast. Johnson has looked good in every Chase race, especially the intermediate track races. Charlotte was Johnson’s second intermediate track win this season. Last year, Johnson won 4 intermediate track races, including a win at Kansas. Historically, Johnson is the best intermediate track racer in NASCAR and he does have 6 championships.
3. Kevin Harvick – The 4 team has been snake bitten, but there is a silver lining. The last time Harvick wasn’t expected to perform well, he responded with big time fantasy numbers (New Hampshire and Dover in the 2015 playoffs). In the last 10 Kansas races, Harvick has a driver rating of 113.3 (1st). This year, Harvick’s driver rating is 110.6 at intermediate tracks. That includes two really unfortunate races, which also happened to be the two most current 1.5 mile races.
4. Kyle Busch – The speed is back in the 18 car. Kyle ran the third most fast laps last week (30 laps). Like Jimmie Johnson, Kyle Busch has 2 intermediate track wins this season. Johnson won at Kansas last year, but Kyle won this year in the 2016 low downforce package. If the JGR team can get a full weekend of practice, then they should close the tech gap that Hendrick has on the field. When Kansas was repaved, this was not a good track for Rowdy. Now that the track has aged a little, it suits Kyle nicely (three consecutive top 5s).
5. Chase Elliott – Hendrick has the speed. Better yet, Chase Elliott won a couple of restarts at Charlotte. The 33rd place finish at Charlotte doesn’t look good, but his driver rating was 116.4. At Chicago his driver rating was 129.1. He has the 7th best driver rating at intermediate tracks. Most of those scores came when Hendrick was noticeably slower than JGR.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Kasey Kahne – Keep rolling with the hot hand. Kahne has quietly had a good season, but now the it’s not so quiet anymore. His 3rd place finish at Charlotte was his best this season and his third consecutive top 10 at an intermediate track. Hendrick is where it’s at right now.
2. Ryan Newman – Before you say, “hey you picked Kahne and Newman last week,” Kahne finished 3rd and Newman finished 4th. It worked. Newman has the 8th best average finish at intermediate tracks this season.
3. Aric Almirola – Richard Petty Motorsports changed the crew chief for the 43 car last month, and Almirola has responded with three top 20s and a strong car at Chicago that was hit with two costly penalties. Almirola is racing like the fantasy NASCAR value driver everyone loved last year.
Kasey Kahne – Finishing 3rd at Charlotte makes it 5 top 10s in the last 6 races. Kahne has not finished outside of the top 15 in the last 8 races.
Brad Keselowski – His 7 race long top 10 streak is the longest current streak in NASCAR. With Harvick’s back-to-back DNFs, BK has the best average finish this season (9th).
Jimmie Johnson – Three consecutive top 10s aren’t amazing, but for the first time all season, Johnson is scoring big time fantasy points. Jimmie scored 75 points at Chicago and has scored over 100 points in the last two races.
Kyle Busch (Spring 2016)
Joey Logano (Fall 2015)
Jimmie Johnson (Spring 2015)
Joey Logano (Fall 2014)
Jeff Gordon (Spring 2014)
PICK TO WIN
Jimmie Johnson – I have a sneaking suspicion that Jimmie Johnson is about to run away with the championship and win multiple playoff races.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.