Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Kevin Harvick – Last year in the Phoenix Cheat Sheet, I wrote, “The numbers are frightening.” Nothing has changed. Harvick is an unstoppable force at Phoenix. He didn’t win the race last fall due to rain, but his 106 fantasy points were 40 more than the second highest score. If the race would have gone the distance, then he might have scored closer to the 158 points that he put up in the Spring 2015 Phoenix race. Over the last 5 Phoenix races, Harvick is averaging 141 fantasy points per race with 4 wins and a second place finish. This is the biggest lock in Daily Fantasy NASCAR history.
2 Jimmie Johnson – No one is close to Kevin Harvick at Phoenix, but statistically, Jimmie is in Harvick’s solar system. Over his career, Jimmie has 4 wins and the best average finish (8th) at Phoenix. There’s no point in comparing Phoenix stats, but 2016 stats are a different story. Jimmie is crushing 2016 with 72 fantasy points per race (1st). The car, the crew, and the driver are clicking, and just maybe, the 48 Lowe’s team has something for Harvick this weekend.
3. Joey Logano – The only driver not named Kevin Harvick who finished inside the top 10 in each of the last 5 Phoneix races is Joey Logano. His 113.9 driver rating over the last 5 Phoenix races ranks second best. Many DFS players expected Team Penske to bust out of the gates this season. Atlanta was a little disappointing, but at Las Vegas, Logano and Keselowski made their presence felt. Joey scored 80.5 fantasy points running the most fast laps and leading 74 laps (2nd).
*4. Brad Keselowski * – Team Penske impressed at Las Vegas last week. Brad got the win and scored 71.5 fantasy points (4th). This week, they roll down to a track where they’ve experienced success. Logano has 5 straight top 10s at Phoenix, but BK has a top 10 in 7 of the last 8 at Phoenix (the finish outside of the top 10 was an 11th place finish). Over that span, BK is averaging a 6th place finish and a driver rating of 111.5. The drivers are going to run 312 laps on Sunday. Surely, Harvick can’t lead them all. BK may not win, but fast laps and laps led points are possible.
5. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. – Last week DFS players marveled at Junior’s Las Vegas stats. This week, his Phoenix numbers are impressive as well. Earnhardt, Jr. excels at short, flat tracks. The 88 pulled off the impossible feat of defeating Kevin Harvick at Phoenix last Fall. If you throw out the accident in last Spring’s Phoenix race, Earnhardt, Jr. is averaging the 4th most fantasy points at Phoneix over the last 5 races. Hendrick Motorsports has the best cars so far this season, and Junior is normally the most affordable top tier driver.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Ryan Blaney – At Atlanta, a last lap wrecked turned a top 15 and a solid fantasy day into a 25th place finish; that didn’t happen at Las Vegas. Blaney finished 6th (average running position of 7th) and scored 51 fantasy points (5th). This is the unofficial third Team Penske car and it’s been priced in the $6,000 range. Get it while you can.
2. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – If Ricky could flub qualifying just once, DFS players would appreciate it. Stenhouse and his Roush-Fenway teammates look like new men. Once again, Ricky hung around the top 15 the whole race at Las Vegas. Before his Fall race was ruined by a brake issue, Stenhouse had finished inside the top 20 in all 5 of his races at Phoenix.
3. Clint Bowyer – A 22nd place finish at Las Vegas for Clint Bowyer should not be an improvement, but at little HScott Motorsports it is. Last season, HScott Motorsports scored two top 20s at Phoenix with Justin Allgaier in this car. This is a long shot, low ownership play that could take down a GPP.
Jimmie Johnson – You can take the Daytona results with a grain of salt, but back-to-back 80 fantasy point performances at intermediate tracks is impressive.
Kyle Busch – Phoenix is not one of Kyle’s best tracks, but that’ll change, if Kyle continue his hot streak. Busch has not found victory lane, but he’s finished inside the top 5 in all three races with the second highest fantasy points per race average.
Kevin Harvick – In terms of speed, 2016 has been all about Jimmie, Kyle, and Kevin. Johnson outgamed Harvick at Atlanta, but this week, no one beats Harvick.
- Dale Earnhardt, Jr. (Fall 2015)
- Kevin Harvick (Spring 2015)
- Kevin Harvick (Fall 2014)
- Kevin Harvick (Spring 2014)
- Kevin Harvick (Fall 2013)
PICK TO WIN
Kevin Harvick – Look at the numbers. Harvick should set the record for DFS NASCAR ownership this week.