Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Jimmie Johnson – $10,600 – No one has finished better than Jimmie at intermediate tracks in the 2016 low downforce package (avg. finish of 3rd). Jimmie has 3 wins at Kansas (1st) and a career average finish of 10th at intermediate tracks (1st). Those aren’t even the best stats. Jimmie has 16 top 10s in 19 races at Kansas. That’s an 84% top 10 rate. His 70% career intermediate track top 10 rate is pretty ridiculous as well.
2. Kevin Harvick – $10,400 – When it comes to fast laps, the 4 car is king. In 2016, he’s run 14.1% of all fast laps (1st). That’s big time fantasy points. At Kansas, Harvick is averaging 37 fast laps per race over the last 5 (1st). Harvick has the 3rd most laps led this season. He’s led laps in every one of the last 5 Kansas races for a total of 392 laps. At Kansas, Harvick has the best average running position over the last 5 races.
3. Joey Logano – $9,800 – The struggle has been well documented this season. The 22 car starts up front and fades. Current form is a concern, but Logano’s history is hard to ignore. He’s won 2 of the last 3 Kansas races. He has the highest Kansas driver rating over the last 5 races. Logano averages the best finish and the most fantasy points over the last 5 Kansas races. Current form is not on his side, but track history is in his corner.
4. Carl Edwards – $10,100 – Track history does not heavily favor Carl Edwards, but current form does. He’s never won at Kansas, but his 71% top 10 rate is the 2nd best at Kansas. At intermediate tracks over his career, Edwards is ranked 2nd. Edwards might not have the single fastest car on the track, but he excels in the hard to measure categories. The 19 crew and Carl Edwards do not make mistakes. They do not give up track position, in fact, they usually gain positions. Even with the new low downforce package, track position means everything. He’s run up front in every race this season (8 top 10s – tied for the most).
5. Kyle Busch – $10,200 – At the last intermediate track race, Kyle won. At the two others this season, he has top 5s (he started last at Atlanta). His lowest fantasy score at a 1.5 mile track is 75 points. The 2016 rules package was built for Kyle and at intermediate tracks he can let it loose. Kansas was once a track where Kyle struggled. He’s finished inside the top 5 in his last two Kansas races. Martinsville was a track where Kyle struggles, and he swept both races this year.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Trevor Bayne – $6,400 – The Roush Fenway Ford’s are fast and underpriced. Although Bayne struggled last season, he did finish inside the top 20 at Kansas last fall. He’s improved with each race this season. His intermediate track races follow this pattern (22nd, 17th, and 15th). A top 10 is pushing it, but a top 20 in the $6,000 range is a good deal.
2. Ryan Newman – $7,300 – In the last four Kansas races, Newman has finished 11th or better. This streak coincides with his switch to RCR. His teammate Paul Meanard has not finished outside of the top 20 over the last 11 Kansas races. Newman finished 13th at Las Vegas (a comparable intermediate track with a recently paved surface).
3. Ryan Blaney – $7,100 – This is a top notch ride at a discounted price. Blaney is a rookie and he technically drives for The Wood Brothers, not Team Penske. In reality, Blaney drives better than a rookie and he is Team Penske’s third driver. Blaney finished inside the top 10 at Kansas last fall (avg. running position of 9th), and he’s been a top 15 driver at 1.5 mile tracks this season (6th at Las Vegas).
Carl Edwards – $10,100 – Forget the Talladega results. They might as well have been racing on the moon. Edwards has been the most consistent top tier driver this season.
Kyle Busch – $10,200 – In three 1.5 mile track races, Kyle has three top 5s (won at Texas). Busch has the 2nd best average finish and average fantasy points per race.
Kevin Harvick – $10,400 – The best average finish and the best fantasy points per race average belong to Kevin Harvick.
Joey Logano (Fall 2015)
Jimmie Johnson (Spring 2015)
Joey Logano (Fall 2014)
Jeff Gordon (Spring 2014)
Kevin Harvick (Fall 2013)
PICK TO WIN
Jimmie Johnson – $10,600 – The track history supports Johnson. His current form at intermediate tracks supports Johnson. What are you going to do? On paper, Johnson is the best play.