Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Kevin Harvick – This is the biggest week of the season, so it only makes sense that the 4 team will show up big. For the most part, every week that Harvick was supposed to score big fantasy points, he delivered. There have been hiccups, but its auto racing. Harvick averages 73 fantasy points per race. This is not a week to fade Harvick. Swallow the high salary and take the points. When Harvick must win, he wins (e.g. Homestead 2014).
2. Jimmie Johnson – If not for a mechanical issue at Dover, Johnson might be running for the Championship at Miami. The 48 car has been loaded with speed each week, and Johnson has handled playoff elimination like a pro (three top 5s including a win). At Homestead, Jimmie is the current track master with the most wins (5) and the highest top 10 percentage (75%). If those stats aren’t enough, Johnson has the most laps led per race run and is the number one ranked intermediate track driver.
3. Kyle Busch – When it’s a one race only, winner-take-all format, then there are just a few drivers that NASCAR fans would pick. Kyle Busch is one of those guys. Kyle has quietly finished inside the top 5 in 4 of the last 5 Chase races. At intermediate tracks, Kyle averages an 8th place finish (tied for 2nd). Homestead is not one of Rowdy’s favorite tracks, but this race has never meant anything in the past. JGR’s championships hopes hang on Kyle busch.
4. Brad Keselowski – This is an exhibition for BK, but it’s hard to pass on such a great intermediate track driver. The 2 car has been the best 1.5 mile machine this season (average finish of 6th). Brad has put up monster fantasy numbers this season at intermediate tracks (100 pts. at Kentucky, 111 pts. at Darlington, and 166 pts. at Texas). At the last two Homestead races, Keselowski has finished 6th and 3rd.
5. Matt Kenseth – He’s not in the Chase and he hasn’t raced in two weeks, but Homestead is a good track for Kenseth. Kenseth got his revenge with Logano. Now, it’s time for NASCAR to pay. Kenseth can’t wreck NASCAR, but winning the final race would be a fitting salute. Kenseth has the second best Homestead stats. In 65% of his races, he’s finished inside the top 10 (average finish of 9th). At intermediate tracks, Kenseth has the 3rd best career numbers.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Clint Bowyer – Has Bowyer struggled at Intermediate tracks? Yes. Has MWR struggled with the 2015 rules package at intermediate tracks. Yes. On the other hand, Bowyer is usually a good source for place differential points and he’s averaging a 6th place finish at Miami since 2008.
2. Ryan Blaney – The Wood Brother 43rd place finish at Texas wasn’t because of an engine problem; it was driver failure. In Blaney’s defense, Texas was a tough track that day. Blaney has shown speed and skill at 1.5 mile tracks this season, but Texas wasn’t the young driver’s day. The 1.5 mile track in Miami could easily turn that around.
3. Ty Dillon – The 33 RCR car has been strong in its limited Sprint Cup races. With Dillon at the helm, expect fantasy points. Ty doesn’t need to shock the world, he just needs to prove that he is ready for the next level. Ty has improved with each cup race (28, 26, 18, and 14).
Jeff Gordon – The longest top 10 streak still belongs to the 24 team. Phoenix was Gordon’s sixth consecutive top 10. The bad news is that this week a top 10 won’t get it done, he needs to win.
Kevin Harvick – Four top 3 finishes in the last seven races (average finish of 7th). Harvick has battled through extremely difficult situations.
Dale Earnhardt Jr. – With 4 top 10 finishes leading into the Homestead, one would assume Junior was racing for the championship. Although I have had a hard time letting it go, Junior’s victory at Phoenix proves that he has not.
Kevin Harvick (Fall 2014)
Denny Hamlin (Fall 2013)
Jeff Gordon (Fall 2012)
Tony Stewart (Fall 2011)
PICK TO WIN
Kevin Harvick – It’s the last race of the year. Go with the horse that’s got you here.