Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all of the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Kyle Busch – Everyone looked at the the 2016 low downforce package and said, “this car is built for Kyle Busch.” Everyone was right. Busch has 6 top 5s and 2 wins to start the season. More wins are coming, and this week will likely be one of them. Busch has five Sprint Cup wins at Bristol and 17 wins if you count the Xfinity and truck series. Kyle hasn’t won at Bristol since 2011, but in the fall race, he scored 111 points, and his average running position was 4th.
2. Matt Kenseth – The struggle is real. Kenseth raced better than he finished at Texas (5th highest driver rating, but finished 11th). At Bristol, Kenseth has led laps in all of the last 8 Bristol races (excluding last fall’s race where an engine failure forced a DNF). Kenseth has a 116.2 driver rating over that span of races. It’s likely that Kenseth will not finish as well as he races, but Daily Fantasy NASCAR is scored on performance (fast laps and laps led), not just finishing position.
“He has led at least 70 laps in 4 of the last 5 Bristol Races and has the 2nd highest driver rating over that span…”
3. Carl Edwards – The most consistent high level driver, not named Kyle Busch, is Carl Edwards. If you want to win at Bristol, you’ve got to stay up front away from most of the madness. Up front is where Edwards has run all season, and that’s where he runs at Bristol. Edwards has led at least 70 laps in 4 of the last 5 Bristol Races and has the 2nd highest driver rating over that span (109.6). Between Edwards, Kenseth, Busch, and Hamlin, JGR loves the new racing package, and they love Bristol.
4. Joey Logano – Statistically, Logano could be ranked higher. He has won 2 of the last 4 Bristol races. The concern with Logano is that he just seems to be missing something. Martinsville was a huge let down for DFS player. At Texas, Logano was once again in a position to take control of the race, and it didn’t happen. It’s a new week, and Logano has moved on, so DFS should followed his lead. Logano scored 122 points at Bristol last Fall and has the 4th highest driver rating over the last 5 races at the “bullring” (100.7). Like Kenseth, Logano is due for a win in 2016.
5. Kevin Harvick – We can argue who should be number one. Any one of these five drivers are deserving. Harvick has the highest fantasy points per race average this season (80 pts). His 10 top 5s are the 3rd most at Bristol. Over the last five Bristol races, Harvick has the 3rd highest driver rating (103.5), 2nd best average position, and the most fast laps per race (48 fast laps).
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – This is a new Ricky. His average running position at Texas was 9th. Bristol is Stenhouse’s best track. He has three top 10s and his worst finish is 21st. His average finish of 11th at Bristol is the best in NASCAR.
2. Clint Bowyer – Most DFS players believe Bowyer is priced too high for a small team driver. The result is that Bowyer’s ownership remains low each week. Bowyer loves short tracks, and his small team is not at such a disadvantage this week. He finished 5th in the fall Bristol race, and has 14 top 20s and 6 top 5s over his career.
3. Jamie McMurray – Chip Gnassi Racing is a little behind the top flight teams in terms of speed. Nonetheless, Jamie Mac has been very consistent in 2016. His worst finish was 23rd and he’s averaging a 17th place finish. Over the last 5 Bristol races, Jamie Mac has the 6th highest driver rating (92.7) and the 2nd best average running position (10th). Similar to Bowyer, Jamie Mac isn’t cheap, but low ownership is good in GPPs.
Kyle Busch – Texas made it two wins in a row. Last Summer, Kyle got hot and won 4 races in 5 weeks.
Carl Edwards – In 7 races, Edwards has 6 top 10s (average finish of 7th).
Jimmie Johnson – Stop the presses! Jimmie didn’t win at Texas, but he finished 4th. Johnson is tied with Kyle Busch for the best average finish this season (6th).
- Joey Logano (Fall 2015)
- Matt Kenseth (Spring 2015)
- Joey Logano (Fall 2014)
- Carl Edwards (Spring 2014)
- Matt Kenseth (Fall 2013)
PICK TO WIN
Kyle Busch – In the Cheat Sheet last season, I stated that Kyle wins in bunches. He proceeded to win 4 out of 5 races. Here we go again.