Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Brad Keselowski – There will be differing philosophies this week. Some DFS players will weigh previous track data the heaviest, while others will focus on a driver’s last 15 races. Normally those are the two main strategies, but this week DFS players need to focus on the 2015 Kentucky and Darlington results (these were the races where NASCAR tested the 2016 rules package). In both of those races, Brad Keselowski scored over 100 daily fantasy points. BK loves this loose handling car.
2. Kyle Busch – It’s all about the 2016 rules package this week. This will only be the third time drivers have experienced this low downforce package, and it’s been five months since Darlington. The key to Atlanta will be targeting the drivers that run on the “edge of out of control,” as they would say in Days of Thunder. Rowdy is your guy this week. The 2015 Sprint Cup champ won at Kentucky and finished 7th at Darlington.
3. Carl Edwards – Load up on Joe Gibbs Racing this week because they were dominant at Kentucky and Darlington. The JGR team knows how to build a car for the 2016 rules package, and there drivers love this style of racing. No driver has been more vocal in their support of the 2016 rules package than Carl Edwards. No surprise, he won at Darlington and finished 4th at Kentucky.
4. Joey Logano – 2015 belonged to Logano, and the theory that explains his success is that his extensive experience in low horsepower Xfinity cars gave him an advantage over the Sprint Cup field. This year’s change to a loose handling, less aero-dependent car should hurt Joey. Not so fast. Joey finished 2nd at Kentucky and 4th at Darlington. Maybe the 2015 success theory is a lot simpler. Maybe, Joey’s just good.
5. Denny Hamlin – The #11 car is in the Chase. They no longer have to worry about getting a win or racing for points because they lack a win. Basically, for the next 25 races, Hamlin is playing with house money. His ability to take risks makes him a DFS boom or bust play for the rest of the season. This week you have to love the combination of confidence and JGR expertise. Hamlin finished 3rd at Kentucky and Darlington with a driver rating over 110 in both.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Kyle Larson – He’s a dirt track racer built for this setup. At Darlington, he finished inside the 10 and he ran inside the top 10 for 200 laps at Kentucky until a tire ruined his day.
2. Aric Almirola – Last season, Almirola was the go to guy for consistent value and the occasional big fantasy day. Almirola finished inside the top 15 at Kentucky and Darlington because that’s what he did nearly every week. Almirola has 28 top 20s last season.
3. Greg Biffle – Roush-Fenway Racing struggled in 2015. At the two low downforce test races, they were surprisingly good. Stenhouse and Bayne were top 10 DFS plays at Kentucky, but Biffle had a top 15 DFS day at both Kentucky and Darlington.
- Joey Logano – He didn’t win the 2015 Championship due to the structure of the playoffs, but statistically Logano had the best season (6 wins and 22 top 5s).
- Brad Keselowski – It doesn’t get any hotter than two 100 point fantasy performances in the 2016 rules package.
- Denny Hamlin – The 2016 Daytona 500 winner finished 3rd at Kentucky and Darlington last season.
- Jimmie Johnson (2015)
- Kasey Kahne (2014)
- Kyle Busch (2013)
- Denny Hamlin (2012)
PICK TO WIN
Kyle Busch – When it comes to a loose and wild, it’s has to be Rowdy Busch.