Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Kevin Harvick – It’s hard to fade fast laps. Every race, Harvick scores fast laps and runs somewhere in the top 5. Harvick does have an achilles heel; it’s his pit crew. Then again, every team makes mistakes. Kyle Busch has wrecked in the last two races. Which would you rather have: a wreck or a pit mistake? Harvick is averaging 75 points a race. The next closest driver to him is sitting at 59 points per race. The Michigan numbers are astounding. Harvick has 5 runner-up finishes in the last last 6 races. In the race that he didn’t finish second, he was dominating until his pit crew busted a valve stem. Big surprise. Even after that, it looked like Harvick still had a chance in his rocket ship, but the rain came and the race was cut short.
2. Kurt Busch – Top 10s weren’t enough. Kurt wanted a win, and he finally got it at Pocono. The 41 car has been fast all season. As far as current form is concerned, Kurt is the top class with 12 top 10s in 14 races. Matt Kenseth seems like he should be ranked second, but his decisive Michigan victory was in an experimental high downforce package. The racing was terrible and NASCAR threw it out. It’s best to analyze the Spring Michigan race where Kurt drove to Victory Lane after starting 24th.
3. Carl Edwards – The Roush-Fenway Fords have always run well at Michigan. JGR doesn’t have that history, but it didn’t seem to bother Carl last season. New team, Same old track. Edwards finished 6th and 12th last year. Kenseth dominated the Fall race with the weird high downforce package; I’ll pass. Kyle Busch has been playing demolition derby this Spring. Denny Hamlin? Has anyone seen Denny Hamlin? You must consider a JGR driver every week and Carl Edwards has the best top 10% at Michigan (70%). The only time that he has struggled at Michigan was in his last season with Roush, and that year was a disaster for the whole team.
4. Brad Keselowski – This is BK’s hometown track. His teammate, Joey Logano, is just as worthy at Michigan, but hometown guys always get a bump. Keselowski was right on Kurt Busch’s heels at the end of the Pocono race. If it wasn’t for a cheating penalty, the 2 team illegally bent a side panel during a pit stop, Brad may very well have won the race. Keselowski is hungry for hometown win at his boss Roger Penske’s track. Since BK’s championship run in 2012, his worst Michigan finish is 13th and his average finish is 8th.
5. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. – It was close between Junior and Martin Truex, Jr. for the fifth spot. Truex has the current form numbers in his favor, and they have been better indicators of future success. On other hand, Junior has a very strong track history at Michigan, and he’s known for standing out at particular tracks (e.g. Pocono, Plate Tracks, Flat Tracks). June Bug has two wins at Michigan, and he has finished inside the top 10 in each of the last 4 Motor City races.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Greg Biffle – Jack Roush’s cars dominate Michigan. The 2014 and 2015 seasons were tough, but they’ve gotten their act together. Biffle has the most wins at Michigan (4).
2. Paul Menard – It looked like Menard was turning things around with solid runs at Dover and Charlotte. One wreck at Pocono doesn’t say a lot. Everyone is wrecking these days. Menard has been consistently good over his last 5 Michigan with an average finish of 6th.
3. Chase Elliott – The 24 car is very close to a win. Elliott is driving like a veteran and the car is fast. Maybe he doesn’t have the track history, but his current form stats look as good as anyone’s.
Kurt Busch – It’s not just tops 10 anymore, Kurt won a race. He did it without his crew chief.
Chase Elliott – He didn’t win the race, but he scored the most points. It’s not just finishing position points anymore, Elliott is leading laps.
Matt Kenseth – Remember when Matt Kenseth couldn’t buy a break? Neither do I. Kenseth has 4 top 10s in a row and he scored the 3rd most fantasy points at Pocono.
Matt Kenseth (August 2015)
Kurt Busch (June 2015)
Jeff Gordon (August 2014)
Jimmie Johnson(June 2014)
Joey Logano (August 2013)
PICK TO WIN
Kevin Harvick – He’s due for a win. How many second place finishes can a guy get? If Harvick’s pit crew doesn’t make an egregious mistake, then he wins big.