Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.

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Top 5 Favorites to Win

1. Dale Earnhardt Jr. – The Earnhardt name is synonymous with super speedways. Senior and Junior have a knack for Talladega and Daytona. Junior won the Daytona 500 in 2014 and he won at Talladega earlier this year. Dale Jr. has the perfect driving style for restrictor plate tracks. He’s extremely patient and knows exactly how to play the plate tracks. Junior has the 2nd highest driver rating at Daytona and his Top 10 avg. of 58.1% ranks #1.

2. Jimmie Johnson – In 2013, Jimmie swept both Daytona races. His top 5 avg. of 37% ranks 3rd. Between Dega and Daytona, Jimmie has 5 wins. You don’t necessarily have to pay up this week, but there’s also a lot of value at restrictor plate tracks. Jimmie is having a great year, and it’s crazy to say, but he’s due for another win.

3. Kurt Busch – Arguably the hottest Sprint Cup driver is Kurt Busch. The 41 Stewart-Haas Chevy nearly rolled into victory lane for the 2nd week in a row. At Daytona, Kurt sports the 2nd highest top 10 average and the highest top 5 average (39.3%).

4. Kyle Busch – Rowdy is the type of driver that once he starts winning, he doesn’t stop. This week marks his return to the track where we he broke his leg and ankle in a gnarly season opening crash. Kyle may not have the most wins or top 5s, but he does have the best driver rating at Daytona (96.2). The simple fact is this: Kyle must win races to have a chance at making the NASCAR playoffs. Last week at Sonoma, Rowdy proved that he’s swinging for the fences.

5. Tony Stewart – Smoke is starting to put his season back together and Daytona comes at the perfect time. Tony has struggled this year with the 2015 rules package (never in his career has he driven an underpowered car), but the rules package isn’t in play at restrictor plate tracks. In the 2012 Coke Zero 400, Tony Stewart went from last to first. His 4 Daytona wins is the 2nd most among active drivers.

Long Shots to Score Big

1. Ryan Blaney – The Wood Brothers and Ryan Blaney are clicking. Blaney held his own at Michigan three weeks ago. At Talladega, Blaney finished 4th. The Wood Brothers are no strangers to victory lane at Daytona. In 2011, the Wood Brothers won the Daytona 500 with another young driver (Trevor Bayne). Between Dega and Daytona, the Wood Brother have 20 career wins. Before you pencil in Ryan Blaney, he did suffer an engine failure at the Daytona 500 …and at Texas …and at Charlotte.

2. Front Row Motorsports – Intermediate tracks make up the majority of the races in the NASCAR season. In the past, the big teams focused their resources on these tracks in order to win championships. Front Row Motorsports knew that was a frivolous venture, so they focused their resources on the big prize tracks – Daytona and Talladega. Since 2011, between their two drivers (Ragan & Gilliland), the team has 20 top 20 finishes. Cole Whitt, Brett Moffitt, and David Gilliland will be driving for Front Row Motorsports this weekend.

3. David Ragan – Although Ragan is not racing for Front Row Motorsports this weekend, he’s still in a great position. Ragan will be driving for MWR at Daytona. Michael Waltrip does two things on this Earth: Act goofy and win restrictor plate races. Ragan won at Talladega in 2013, and has 7 top 5s at restrictor plate tracks.

Recent Success

Kevin Harvick – A pit road mistake cost Harvick a win for the second week in a row. On the track, Harvick has been dynamite. He nearly won at Pocono. He dominated Michigan until his pit crew damaged a tire valve stem. At Sonoma, Harvick worked his way through the field only to lose his track position because of another pit crew mistake. Harvick still finished 5th at Sonoma.

Jimmie Johnson – The 48 has the most wins this year and almost added another this past week at Sonoma. Jimmie led the most laps, but a late race caution put the leader in a precarious position. The Lowe’s 48 stayed on the track while the rest of the field pitted for fresh tires. Jimmie finished with the 4th highest DFS score at Sonoma.

Kurt Busch – His last three races have gone like this – 5th, 1st, and 2nd. At Sonoma, Kurt led the 2nd most laps and ran the most fast laps. His car is very fast and his confidence is through the roof. Kurt is a serious threat to ruin the Jimmie and Kevin championship show.

Track History

  • Joey Logano
  • Aric Almirola
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  • Jimmie Johnson
  • Jimmie Johnson

Pick to Win

Dale Earnhardt Jr. – Tobin and I thought that Draftkings might release Daily Fantasy NASCAR contests for the the Talladega race in the spring, so we recorded a podcast. DK didn’t release the contest, so we didn’t release the podcast. In the podcast, I accurately predicted that Dale Earnhardt Jr. would win, and I’ll do it again. Dale is starting to think about legacy, and he wants to carry the Earnhardt name. Daytona and Talladega were important tracks to his father. Dale will be 100% focused on winning this July 4th weekend.