Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Kyle Busch – NASCAR returns to an intermediate track this weekend. Kyle dominated the first 4 intermediate track races this season by scoring 75 points or more in each. His average running position in the two other 1.5 mile races (Charlotte and Kentucky) was inside the top 10. Before the season, everyone expected the Toyotas and Kyle Busch to set the standard at intermediate tracks in the new low downforce package. That’s exactly what has happened. In 11 Darlington races, Kyle has 7 top 10s and a current streak of 4 in a row. His 112.7 driver rating over the last 6 Darlington races is the best in NASCAR.
2. Kevin Harvick – Chevy fans have to be excited about Michigan, but for Darlington, NASCAR switches back to the 2016 low downforce package. This weekend should be all Toyota, but one Chevy driver can upset the applecart, and that’s Kevin Harvick. The #4 Chevy has top 10s in every intermediate track race this season. His 70 point average in the 2016 intermediate track races ranks 2nd. Over the last 4 Darlington races, Harvick has a 1st, two 5ths, and a 16th place finish for a driver rating of 136.3.
3. Martin Truex, Jr. – At intermediate tracks, it’s been all about the the trifecta: Rowdy, Happy and what is Truex’s nickname? It’s been awhile since NASCAR raced at an intermediate track, but you might remember Truex blowing up the fantasy NASCAR scoreboard in late spring-early summer. He scored 93 points at Texas, 103 points at Kansas, 197 points at Charlotte and 77 points at Kentucky. He ran the most fast laps in each of the last 3 intermediate track races (2nd most at Texas). That’s a fast car. Last year at Darlington, his average running position was 5th. Kyle, Kevin and Martin all deserve to be #1 this weekend.
4. Brad Keselowski – The 2016 low downforce package was tested last season at Darlington, and Keselowski scored 110 fantasy points. He dominated the race, but finished 2nd because of a lightning fast pit stop by Carl Edwards. BK had the best average finish at 1.5 mile tracks last season. This year, his average finish of 7th ranks 3rd behind Harvick and Kurt Busch (average finish of 6th), but they don’t have any wins at intermediate tracks this year. Brad has two.
5. Denny Hamlin – Current Form continues to be the best stat in NASCAR. Denny Hamlin, his car and his team are on a roll. Six top 10s in a row are impressive, but six top 10s at completely different tracks says a lot about where this team is. Sure, Hamlin has struggled at intermediate tracks this season, but that was when Hamlin was struggling. Darlington is an oddly configured intermediate track. In a lot of ways, you can’t compare it to the previous 1.5 mile track races (it’s not even 1.5 miles long). Track history gets a bump up this week. Hamlin has 8 top 10s in 10 Darlington races. Last year, he led 57 laps, ran 21 fast laps and finished 3rd.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Kyle Larson – The perennial DFS long shot finally got a win last week at Michigan. Larson isn’t considered an elite driver, but that could change quickly. In two Darlington races, Larson has two top 10 finishes.
2. Tony Stewart – The last time NASCAR ran at an intermediate track, Tony finished 5th. Darlington is a funky shaped intermediate track, experience will matter this weekend. Smoke has 20 top 20s in 23 races at the egg shaped track.
3. Greg Biffle – At Darlington, Biffle has two wins, but his 12 top 20s in 15 races are more reflective of what you’ll see this weekend. In the last two intermediate track races, Biffle has finished 11th and 6th.
Denny Hamlin – His top 10 streak extended to 6 races at Michigan. It’s the longest streak at the moment and the second longest for any driver this season.
Kevin Harvick – Throw out Harvick’s two poor races (Watkins Glen and Daytona) and he’s averaging a 6th place finish. That’s four spots better than the second best average finish.
Jamie McMurray – This marks two weeks in a row that Jamie McMurray is on the recent success list. At Michigan, he scored his third consecutive 8th place finish.
Carl Edwards (2015)
Kevin Harvick (2014)
Matt Kenseth (2013)
Jimmie Johnson (2012)
Regan Smith (2011)
PICK TO WIN
Martin Truex, Jr. – Fast cars win races. The last time Martin Truex, Jr. raced at an intermediate track on a National Holiday, he almost scored 200 points.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.