Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.

TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN

1. Carl Edwards – The Spring was much better than the Summer for Carl. As NASCAR enters its Fall segment, many of the Spring race tracks will be revisited. This week it’s Bristol, and Carl won the Spring Bristol race (157.5 pts). In the Spring, the short tracks were dominated by Carl. He won two short track races, finished 2nd at Phoenix (trailing Harvick by a split second), and finished 6th at Martinsville. From a technical perspective these short tracks are not similar. From a mental perspective, Carl’s short game seems to be locked in. Still not convinced? Let’s look at the Bristol history. Edwards has 4 wins and the highest driver rating (117.1) over the last 5 races at Bristol.

2. Joey Logano – Current Form and Track History align for Logano at Bristol this weekend. Logano has 8 top 10s in the last 10 races (2nd best average finish over the span). How about the Track History? Logano has won 2 of the last 5 Bristol races. Last August, Logano scored 122 fantasy points at Bristol. In the 2014 August race, Logano scored 86 fantasy points. It’s August, Logano’s running as well as anyone, and Team Penske is fielding fast cars.

3. Kyle Busch – After Kyle Busch wrecked at Bristol in the Spring race, he spoke in the garage area about the updated track at Bristol. He explained that the track has never been the same since Bristol management ground away the progressive banking. This made the high line (the rough, ground track) the preferred groove. Kyle dominated Bristol during the Progressive Banking Era (5 wins). Why is he a top pick to win? First of all, he’s Kyle Busch. Secondly, Bristol modified the track, again. They’ve run a tire machine across the lower groove to help it build up rubber quicker. This could create two racing lines in the turns. The racing would be similar to the Progressive Banking Era when Kyle dominated.

4. Matt Kenseth – Bristol is a bull ring. Driver’s do not just race their competitors, they race the track. Not anyone can win here, but anyone can wreck. Matt Kenseth can attest to that. Since joining JGR, Kenseth has two wrecks and a blown engine at Bristol. Before you skip to number 5, Kenseth has two wins and a 3rd place finish at Bristol with JGR. Over his career at Bristol, Kenseth has 4 wins and his 61% top 10 rate is the best in NASCAR.

5. Kevin Harvick – There have been 22 races this season. Harvick has two poor races (Daytona and Watkins Glen), 19 top 15s, and a 17th place finish at Martinsville. It’s one thing to avoid wrecks, it’s another thing to do that and run upfront. Harvick leads NASCAR with 17 top 10s and an average finish of 9th. At Bristol, Harvick has the 2nd best driver rating over the last 5 races (111.1). Harvick has not visited victory lane at the coliseum since 2005, but his worn out fantasy NASCAR motto is “wins are overrated.” He has top 10s in his last two Bristol races. He finished 38th in the Spring 2015 race, but finished 9th in fantasy scoring, thanks to his 184 laps led.

LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG

1. Kyle Larson – At Bristol we have to look at more than just finishing position. Wrecks happen, especially to the drivers pushing the issue. Larson wrecked in the Spring race, but was running 3rd at the time. He wrecked last Fall, but was running 4th at the time. In his other three Bristol races, he finished 7th, 12th, and 10th.

2. Ryan Newman – A lot of drivers wreck at Bristol, except Newman. That’s Newman’s thing. In his last 15 trips to the Tennessee coliseum, Newman has just one wreck. He has 8 top 10s and 13 top 20s over that span. His top 10 percentage ranks 3rd in NASCAR (55%).

3. Clint Bowyer – Here’s the deal – Bristol is a mess. There will be wrecks. The Spring race was littered with them. Bowyer and his small team survived the madness and finished 8th. Survival at Bristol is a skill and Bowyer has it. He’s wrecked only once here, and that was his rookie year in 2006.

RECENT SUCCESS

Kyle Busch – The dip earlier this Summer is in the rear view mirror. Over his last 7 races, Kyle has 6 top 10s and an average finish of 6th.

Tony Stewart – Two crashes on the final turn didn’t hurt at Watkins Glen. Once again, seemingly out of nowhere, Stewart took home his 4th top 5 in the last 5 races.

Denny Hamlin – While Kyle Busch and Brad Keselowski battled for the win at The Glen, Hamlin snuck by and won the race. Hamlin has finished inside the top 10 in 4 consecutive races.

TRACK HISTORY

  • Carl Edwards (Spring 2016)
  • Joey Logano (Fall 2015)
  • Matt Kenseth (Spring 2015)
  • Joey Logano (Fall 2014)
  • Carl Edwards (Spring 2014)

PICK TO WIN

Kyle Busch – He wrecked in the Spring and made his gripes with the track known. Bristol responded by modifying the track to the way Kyle likes it. He’s definitely my pick to win.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.