Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Kevin Harvick – One more time, all together: finishing position is overrated! What am I talking about? Harvick won at Dover? In the first two Chase races, Harvick finished 42nd and 21st. Those numbers are worthless because Harvick had the best car at Chicago and New Hampshire; he just lacked luck. For the third week in a row, Harvick had the best car at Dover. He’ll have a rocket at Charlotte. If you need a stat, Harvick ranks #1 at intermediate tracks in 2015 (73 fantasy points per race) and that includes a -27 at Chicago.
2. Matt Kenseth – JGR flipped the switch at Kentucky. Kenseth has 10 top 10s since that race (second most in NASCAR). Kenseth’s average finish of 13th at intermediate tracks ranks second, and his 13 career wins ranks 4th in NASCAR (trailing future hall of famers Stewart, Gordon, and Johnson). In the last 5 Charlotte races, Kenseth has 3 tops 5 and averages 56 fantasy points (3rd most).
3. Kyle Busch – The same that can be said for Kevin Harvick’s Chase races can be said for Kyle Busch. Rowdy’s been the second fastest over the first three Chase races, and just like Harvick, bad luck resulted in a poor finish at New Hampshire. In limited runs, Kyle is averaging the second most fantasy points at 1.5 mile tracks (72 fppr). His hard driving style is a bit of risk as we witnessed at New Hampshire, so the edge goes to his fellow JGR driver, Matt Kenseth.
4. Joey Logano – He’s not scoring a lot of fantasy points at the moment, but that could change any day now. The story remains the same: Logano runs with the front pack every week, and fast laps and laps led come from the front. Logano has been the best driver in NASCAR at intermediate tracks this season (average finish of 6th), and his worst finish was a solid 13th. Logano wasn’t the best car at Dover, but he ran around 5th the entire race.
5. Carl Edwards – Can he sweep the Charlotte races? JGR has been the best team since summer and Carl has fully adjusted to his new team. At intermediate tracks, Carl has the second best average finish in NASCAR. At Charlotte, Carl has the second best average finish. He’s also averaged the second most fast laps over the last five races. Maybe, he’ll finish second, but he’ll still score a lot of fantasy points.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – Sometimes you have to ride a hot hand. Ricky has a 4 race top 20 streak. That may not sound like much, but at his price it’s the steal of the century. In limited practice at Dover, Ricky had a fast car and he took that car from 27th to 8th. His teammate, Greg Biffle, has finished inside the top 15 in the last two races. It seems that Roush-Fenway Racing may have figured something out.
2. Greg Biffle – It’s a Roush bandwagon sort of week. Biffle is running well right now (53.5 fppr over the last two races). He finished second in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte in May. Not being a part of the Chase may have been the relief that Biffle needed.
3. Kasey Kahne – Over the last 7 races, Kahne has improved. Something is clicking with the Hendrick 5 car. Just like Biffle, missing the Chase may have relieved some of the pressure to perform. Kahne has finished inside the top 10 in each of the last 2 races. By the way, Kahne’s no slouch at Charlotte. He has 4 wins at Charlotte, the second best top 5%, and the best driver rating over the last 5 races at CMS.
Kevin Harvick – We might split hairs when defining success, but Harvick’s had the best car recently. He’s had back-to-back 100 plus fantasy point races. His 216 points at Dover is the most by a driver this season.
Matt Kenseth – It’s surprising, but Kenseth and Logano are the only drivers to have top 10s in each of the last 4 races. Since Kentucky, Kenseth has 10 top 10s (second to Logano’s 11).
Joey Logano – The Dover finish wasn’t the best, but Logano was inside the top 15 the entire race and he still scored a top 10. His current 8 race top 10 streak is the longest by a driver this season.
Carl Edwards (Spring 2015)
Kevin Harvick (Fall 2014)
Jimmie Johnson (Spring 2014)
Brad Keselowski (Fall 2013)
Kevin Harvick (Spring 2013)
PICK TO WIN
Kevin Harvick – There is no debate. Over the first three Chase races, Kevin Harvick has been the best driver with the best car. Harvick’s won two of the last 5 Charlotte races and has the highest average fantasy points per race (84 fppr).