Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success. The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP-FIVE FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Jimmie Johnson – Look to Charlotte. Texas is the spitting image of Charlotte, but under normal circumstances their stats are not comparable because Charlotte is a night race and the Texas fall race is during the day. The intermediate track race at Charlotte several weeks ago was a day race (rain delay). Jimmie Johnson won that race and scored 120 fantasy points. His #48 Chevy was a contender at Chicago and Kansas as well. Then there’s the fact that Jimmie has won four of the last six Texas races.
2. Kyle Busch – The spring Texas race winner has returned to his early-season form. As soon as the playoffs began, Kyle Busch elevated his game. In the Charlotte day race a month ago, Rowdy ran the third-most fast laps. He finished sixth despite a tire issue and a wreck. What happens if he runs a clean race at Texas? Kyle has two wins at intermediate tracks this season, and could easily have a perfect 10 top 10s in 10 races, if it wasn’t for a wreck in the final laps at Charlotte in May.
3. Martin Truex, Jr. – The 78 team didn’t have it at Charlotte or at Kansas. At every other intermediate track, Truex has been the best car by far. Last week, the skid ended. Martinsville is not a good track for Truex, but if you’ve got a good car, then anything can happen (second-highest score). In the spring, Truex led the most laps and ran the second-most fast laps. The only reason Truex is not the highest ranked is because of Charlotte (failure to adjust to day race) and Kansas (mechanical issues). If Truex is fast in practice, he’s worthy of being ranked number one.
4. Kevin Harvick – Let’s look closely at Harvick’s recent intermediate track performances. The first-place finish at Kansas does not need further inspection. Neither do the seven top 10s to start the season (that includes three second-place finishes). Let’s look at Chicago and Charlotte. Harvick suffered a mechanical failure at Charlotte. At Chicago, Harvick may have had the best car, but we’ll never know because he was forced to start from the very back and could not get on the lead lap.
5. Matt Kenseth – I write this every time there is a 1.5-mile track race. Kenseth finished 11th at the third intermediate track race this season (Texas). Since that race, he’s scored nothing but top 10s. What happened at the beginning of the season? Penalties and a wreck. The driver is locked in and the car is fast at intermediate tracks. Kenseth has scored the third-most fantasy NASCAR points in the last two intermediate track races.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Chase Elliott – Hendrick discovered something. Their fleet of cars have been the fastest at intermediate tracks during the Chase. Elliot ran the fourth-most fast laps at Kansas, the most at Charlotte, and the second-most at Chicago.
2. Ryan Newman – His average finish of 13th at intermediate tracks is the 13th best in NASCAR. His worst run at a 1.5-mile track is 23rd (the rest are all top 20s). If the cautions fall at the right time, a top five is possible.
3. Kasey Kahne – Once again, Hendrick is head and shoulders above the rest of the field at intermediate tracks. Kahne comes into Texas with a streak of four top 10s at intermediate tracks. Kahne did not start any of those races from the top 10. Bring on the place differential points.
Jimmie Johnson – Talladega meant nothing to Johnson. In the five meaningful Chase races, he’s finished 12th or better with two wins.
Kyle Busch – Again, just cross out Talladega. Kyle Busch is on a seven-race top-10 streak. In the race before the streak began, he finished 11th.
Matt Kenseth – Talladega aside, Kenseth is on a six-race top-10 streak. At intermediate tracks, he has seven consecutive top-10 finishes.
- Kyle Busch (Spring 2016)
- Jimmie Johnson (Fall 2015)
- Jimmie Johnson (Spring 2015)
- Jimmie Johnson (Fall 2014)
- Joey Logano (Spring 2014)
PICK TO WIN
Jimmie Johnson – His track history and current form are as good as they get. This race means nothing, but the six-time champion knows better. He wants to make a statement heading into the Championship.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.