Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Jimmie Johnson – $10,700 – Dover is Jimmie’s playground. His 10 wins at Dover are Richard Petty type numbers. Dare I say- they are better. The King piled up wins in an era of unequal competition. Jimmie has 10 wins at Dover against opponents that are practically driving the same equipment. His 3,000 laps led is almost 2,000 more than the driver with the second most. On paper, he should win every week in dominant fashion. The truth is that he doesn’t. He’s let us down before, but those were tracks where Jimmie was good. This is a track where Jimmie is a god.
2. Kevin Harvick – $10,400 – The headlines favor Kyle Busch, but Daily Fantasy favors Kevin Harvick. His average fantasy points per race is ridiculous (78 points). It’s one thing to be a cash game lock, but Harvick is a GPP lock. Last year, Harvick flexed his muscle at Dover. He finished second in the spring, but his fall race was a masterpiece. After running out of gas at the end of the New Hampshire race, a race that Harvick dominated, he had to win at Dover to advance in the playoffs. He won at Dover leading 355 of 400 laps. A fantasy NASCAR performance for the ages.
3. Kyle Busch – $10,500 – Fade Rowdy at your own expense. Kyle Busch is a winner. He drives a fast car for a smart team. He won at Kansas, and he can win anywhere. If you care, his stats put him in the top 5 at Dover, but he’s not Jimmie Johnson. Then again, Jimmie Johnson isn’t Kyle Busch.
4. Matt Kenseth – $10,100 – The struggle has been well documented in the Playbook Rankings. Kenseth didn’t win at Kansas, but he wasn’t bad by any means (4th place finish, avg. running position of 3rd). This could be the week that it all turns around for the lone winless JGR driver. Dover is one of Kenseth’s best tracks. He’s finished inside the top 10 in 15 of the last 20 Dover races.
5. Martin Truex, Jr. – $9,700 – The Kansas race did not end the way he wanted. Truex dominated the race, just like last year, but he did not win, just like last year. The car is fast. The driver is hungry. At Dover, Truex has finished 11th or better in the last 4 races. Last spring, Truex started a 5 race hot streak at Kansas. The next week, he was the top fantasy performer at Charlotte, and then Dover. He won at Pocono and finished 3rd at Michigan. The Furniture Row team is ready for the next month.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Kyle Larson – $7,900 – The season is turning around. He finished 14th at Texas. He looked like the car to beat at Bristol, but broke a track bar (not his fault). He finished 15th at Richmond. Ignore Talladega. With 20 laps left at Kansas, he was in 3rd place. His car was fast and the two cars in front of him were on old tires, then two drivers locked into the Chase made all or nothing moves and wrecked Larson. At Dover, Larson has finished inside the top 20 in all of his races; three were inside the top 10 and he finished 3rd last Spring.
2. Clint Bowyer – $6,400 – The Talladega finish means nothing, but it’s possible that it instilled some confidence in Bowyer. Small teams have no chance at intermediate tracks. They should not sniff the top 20, yet Bowyer hung around the top 20 all night, and when a couple of late race wrecks occurred, he snuck away with a 19th place finish. Short tracks are Bowyer’s passion. Even on a small team, he can duke it out with the best of them. At Bristol, Bowyer cast off his small team burden and finished 8th. A top 10 is possible again this week. Bowyer has 9 top 10’s in the last 10 Dover races (the non-top 10 race was a 14th place finish).
3. Kasey Kahne – $8,500 – It appears that the forgotten Hendrick team has woken up. After a year and a half of ups and downs, Kahne has put together a solid run. Throw Talladega out, and Kahne has 4 consecutive top 20s. The streak should continue this week, and Kahne is a real contender for a top 5. Last season was not kind to Kahne, but Dover was a different story. He finished 6th in the fall and 4th in the spring. Kahne’s not for the austere DFS player, but his uncomfortable price tag tend to lead to low ownership in GPPs.
Kyle Busch – $10,500 – At the beginning of the season, I made a ridiculous prediction in a Rankings column, or maybe it was a Cheat Sheet. I predicted that Kyle could hit double digit wins. That’s stupid, but it’s possible. Three down, seven to go.
Kevin Harvick – $10,400 – At the end of the race, Harvick could not run down Kyle Busch. No Worries. Finishing 2nd and scoring 24 place differential points is plenty.
Chase Elliott – $8,700 – Don’t look now, but Elliot is one of the hottest drivers in NASCAR. He’s finished inside the top 10 in 4 of the last 5 (12th at Richmond).
- Kevin Harvick (Fall 2015)
- Jimmie Johnson (Spring 2015)
- Jeff Gordon (Fall 2014)
- Jimmie Johnson (Spring 2014)
- Jimmie Johnson (Fall 2013)
PICK TO WIN
Jimmie Johnson – $10,700 – 10 wins. 3,000 laps led. It would be foolish to predict anyone else.