NASCAR Pocono Auto Racing

WATCH: NASCAR Price Check — Price Check – Go Bowling at the Glen

Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for Sunday’s Go Bowling at The Glen at Watkins Glen International Speedway. The ordering is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.

(fppk = average fantasy points per $1,000 of salary.)

1. Kyle Busch ($11,600) – He should have won at Watkins Glen last year, but a pit road fueling issue in Stage 3 ended his chances. Busch finished second at Sonoma in June. Since 2015, Busch’s average finish at a road course is fourth. Obviously, that’s the best in the sport. (5.9 fppk)

2. Joey Logano ($9,100) – Before 2017, Logano was arguably the best driver at Watkins Glen. His Lap 2 wreck in the 2018 race shouldn’t diminish his status, but a DNF, last-place position is an ugly blemish. From 2013 to 2016, Logano finished seventh, sixth, first and second. (4.6 fppk)

3. Denny Hamlin ($9,400) – It’s time to start thinking of Hamlin as more than just a championship contender. He’s a favorite and is more deserving of the Big 3 label than Kevin Harvick. Another top-five finish is likely on the way this weekend. (4.6 fppk)

4. Martin Truex, Jr. ($11,300) – The numbers do not lie. Truex is the best road racer in NASCAR. He’s won the past two Sonoma races. He won at The Glen in 2017 and finished second in 2018. His crew chief developed a road course background during his formative years in CASCAR (Canada’s stock car circuit). (5.0 fppk)

5. Chase Elliott ($10,300) – He got his first Cup win at Watkins Glen last fall, and he did so in a convincing manner by leading 52 of the 90 laps. The numbers only tell half of the story. Kyle Busch passed Elliott in Stage 3 and was on his way to victory until a pit issue buried Busch in the field. (4.1 fppk)

6. Brad Keselowski ($10,500) – Watkins Glen is Keselowski’s preferred road course. Although he’s struggled recently, he knows the layout of the course and where the speed is. Between 2011 and 2016, BK earned three second-place finishes, a third- and a seventh-place finish. (4.4 fppk)

7. Kyle Larson ($8,300) – The No. 42 car is headed in the right direction. The early season gremlins are gone, the pit crew has been clean on pit road, and Larson is not committing unforced errors on the track. It does not feel like a win is on the horizon, but more top-10s seem likely. (3.7 fppk)

8. Kurt Busch ($10,000) – In the past six years, Kurt Busch’s worst finish at Watkins Glen is 11th. His average finish over that span is seventh. Last year, Kurt drove from 36th to ninth. (4.4 fppk)

9. Kevin Harvick ($10,900) – All of the breaks fell in favor of Harvick at New Hampshire, and he finally earned his first win of the season. At Pocono, Harvick had one of the best cars and the best starting position, but again, they found a way to not win. (4.1 fppk)

10. Erik Jones ($8,900) – Who knew Erik Jones was a good road racer? He’s earned four straight top-10 finishes at the road courses. His JGR equipment certainly helps, but someone has to navigate the 11 turns for 90 laps. (4.3 fppk)

11. Clint Bowyer ($9,700) – Sonoma is Bowyer’s best road course, but he’s not that bad at Watkins Glen. Bowyer has finished 11th or better in six of the past eight races at The Glen. He even finished 18th driving for the now-defunct HScott Motorsports in 2016. (3.2 fppk)

12. Alex Bowman ($7,600) – His road course history isn’t particularly good or bad. It does not reveal a trend in any specific direction. If Bowman starts up front, he’ll hold track position and finish up front. It’s hard to imagine another scenario where Bowman scores a top-10 at Watkins Glen. (4.7 fppk)

13. Daniel Suarez ($8,100) – In his two races at Watkins Glen, Suarez has two top-five finishes. The initial assumption is these were fluky finishes, but his average running position was inside the top 10 in both races. Suarez has road experience from his early days at the Mexican road courses. (4.2 fppk)

14. William Byron ($7,200) – At Sonoma, Byron forfeited his finishing position for stage points. That strategy should frighten fantasy NASCAR players, but Watkins Glen is not Sonoma. This is a two-stop race, and early pitting only will happen in Stage 1. Byron’s strategy will not be unconventional this weekend. (4.6 fppk)

15. Jimmie Johnson ($8,500) – The No. 48 team switched crew chiefs this week. Cliff Daniels might provide a spark, but the Hendrick cars appear to have taken a small step backwards, and Johnson has taken several steps backwards over the past few years. (3.8 fppk)

16. Ryan Newman ($7,400) – Over the past seven years at Watkins Glen, Newman’s average running position ranks 17th. Those are typical Newman numbers, and it would surprise no one if Newman still is finishing 15th every weekend a decade from now. (5.1 fppk)

17. Michael McDowell ($6,800) – It’s a road course, so the former Bob Bondurant School driving instructor is in play. He’s not cheap, but his price tag prevents McDowell from becoming too chalky. In his past four races at the Glen, he’s finished 18th, 12th, 17th and 20th. (2.5 fppk)

18. Ryan Blaney ($8,700) – At Sonoma, Blaney finished third, but Sonoma is nothing like Watkins Glen. Sonoma is the road course version of a short track and Watkins Glen is the superspeedway of road courses. Blaney’s Sonoma success might be irrelevant this weekend. (4.1 fppk)

19. Aric Almirola ($7,900) – Watkins Glen has not been kind to Almirola. In terms of average finish at Watkins Glen, Almirola ranks 28th. He’s never earned a top-10 and only has three top 20s in eight races. (3.9 fppk)

20. Paul Menard ($6,900) – His track history at Watkins Glen is not very impressive, but the same can be said of the drivers ranked 21st to 38th. The one thing Menard has going for him is he earns a top-20 DFS score nearly every week. (3.9 fppk)

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.