Soren Kjeldsen ($9,900): The Dane has had a fantastic 2016 but is still looking for his first win on the year. He comes into this event off the back of two top tens in his last three starts on the Euro tour. While Kjeldsen doesn’t rank highly in Greens in Regulation, his putter can get hot with the best of them. Birdies should be needed in bunches this weekend as the winning score the last time a pro tournament was played here was -23. I like the setup and Kjeldsen’s form this week. The mostly bentgrass greens are the same style used at Augusta, where Kjeldsen putted well all week earlier this season.
Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,500): Fitzpatrick is the defending champion of this event but remember when he won it was at a different venue. Fitz played poorly at the Ryder Cup and then played poorly last weekend as well, so you’re not getting him in any great form. However you are getting a player who can go low and possibly challenge for the win at under 10k. While he doesn’t have great recent form, Fitzpatrick does rank 11th on tour in Greens in Regulation and should have plenty of looks at birdie if his approach game is on. As defending champion in his home country, I expect a bounce back week from the talented Englishman.
Richard Bland ($8,500): I honestly don’t know how you fade Bland at this price. He’s arguably been better/more consistent than most of the people ranked above him this week, but he’s just yet to land a win. Bland has now made seven straight cuts, a streak where he’s finished inside the top seven 3 times and no worse than 27th overall. An Englishman won this event last season and I honestly won’t be shocked if Bland is finally able to close one out here this week. He’s tallied no fewer than 17 birdies in each of his last four starts which makes him pretty safe for fantasy purposes.
David Horsey ($8,100): Horsey has really been coming on strong of late recording finishes of 11th-49th-4th and 5th in his last four starts. The Englishman should be ready for a shootout this week as he’s been a birdie machine in his recent run as well, recording 25 birdies twice in his last four tournaments. Horsey ranks 22nd in Putts per GIR and has also been improving on his Greens in Regulation percentage lately. All signs point to a massive week here.
Alejandro Canizares ($7,500): Canizares has had an on-again off-again type of season but when he’s been on he’s been fantastic. The Spaniard has recorded two top tens in his last four starts and is coming off a decent week at the Alfred Dunhill where he made the cut and finished 41st. The setup this week will require players to go low, which Canizares seems more than capable of right now. He’s recorded 17 or more birdies three times in his four starts and also ranks 5th on the year in Putts per GIR. At only $7,500 he looks like a possible steal this week on a course that should suit his skill set well.
Joakim Lagergren ($7,000): Lagergren has been in great form recently and looks like one of the best values on the board this week at only $7,000. The Swede has been terrific of late, making six of his last seven cuts while landing two top five finishes. Like some of the other birdie machines in my picks this week, Lagergren ranks highly in Putts per GIR (10th) and could really challenge if his putter stays hot.
David Lipsky ($6,800): Lipsky is a player who has really seen a reduction in salary recently and from a pure value perspective, looks like a great target. Lipsky is coming off a bad week at the Dunhill Championships, but before that had really found his game with six straight made cuts, a span which included a 6th and a 3rd. Lipsky has gone low on tour before and won an event at -18 a couple of years ago. At only $6,800 in salary (he was $8,500 a couple weeks ago) and on a course which requires lots of birdies be made, Lipsky looks like the pick of the week at a very reduced rate.
Chris Paisley ($6,200): Paisley is another player under 7k in salary this week who looks like great value. Only a couple of weeks ago, Paisley was battling for his first win on tour but came up just a little short finishing T3 at the Italian Open. Paisley missed the cut last week but playing in his home country this week should give him confidence. It’s also comforting to know he’s been putting well this year as he currently ranks 9th on tour in putts per GIR
Graeme Storm ($6,000): Storm is a consistent enough player who tends to show up now and then with some very strong finishes. This gives him some good upside for your tournament lineups this week and he should come in with confidence given a strong T25 finish last week. The Englishman has certainly proven he can put it together for a decent finish at a weaker event like this one and in his home country, coming off a decent start, a big week seems very possible.
Robert Dinwiddie ($5,700): Dinwiddie has played solid at times this season and simply looks like a player I’d want to target if looking for value under $6,000. The Englishman will also be playing in his home country which is never a bad thing and should provide a tad extra motivation for a solid week (He also played solidly earlier in the year at the BMW Championship, which was also played in England). Coming off three of four made cuts I definitely don’t hate Dinwiddie for tournament lineups as his price can definitely save you a ton of space.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is wavegoodbye) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.