The TOUR is heading to one of the nicest courses in the country for the Zurich Classic this weekend. TPC Louisiana is peppered with water that’s part of the wetlands of the Mississippi River, and the backdrop for this event since just after the course opened back in 2004. It’s a tournament that has offered up some low scores in the past, so there should be plenty of fantasy points to be had. Let’s take a look at some of my top daily fantasy golf picks for this week, and, as always, good luck!
Dustin Johnson ($13,000) – The most obvious choice on the board, he is going to make you work to try to fit him onto your squad, because he is just so enticing. With the way he is playing right now, he is by far the most consistent of the top options available this weekend (top 6 in five of his last six). It’s hard to imagine him not finishing in the top-10 against this field.
Jason Day ($12,300) – Sometimes it feels hard to trust Day in your DFS lineups – I don’t know if it’s that he just doesn’t seem to show up all that regularly, or just that he seems so GOOD that it’s profoundly disappointing to watch him do anything other than win. But whatever it is, this is the kind of tournament that could lend itself very nicely to his game – he has the tools necessary to make birdie on any hole on this course when he is going well, with so many scoring chances that the a truly bad round just might not even be out there for him (even a round with a few blowup holes might end up under par).
Ricky Fowler ($10,700) – Fowler is another one of these players who seems like an unsure thing, no matter how obvious his talent is when he is playing well. But he is averaging 17 birdies in each of his last four appearances, and he closed out Augusta with rounds of 70 and 67. If that kind of performance carries over, he will be in good shape on this course.
Steve Stricker ($9,400) – Stricker is coming back from surgery he had during the off-season, which delayed his debut until just a couple of weeks ago at Augusta. But not only did he finish T28, he closed out his weekend with a 68, showing that not only did he make it through the four days intact, he can still hit a few shots too.
Brendan Steele ($9,200) – There was a time when I would have balked at paying this much for Steele, but facts are facts, and he’s made twelve straight cuts, finished in the top-35 in each of the last five, and has proven his ability to really compete against good competition with a couple of top ten finishes this year. Consistency matters.
Daniel Berger ($8,400) – He’s got eight top-25 finishes, including three in the top-ten and one solo second, all in 2015. And he has no career victories. If this course really tends to produce first-time champions, then he is a candidate.
Justin Thomas ($8,200) – In the PGA Breakdown I mentioned a few trends in this tournament that taken together might lead you to look for a certain kind of player: lots of first time (and no repeat) champions here, low scores, and tight leaderboards – in ten years, there have been three playoffs and only two instances with a margin of victory more than one. You need to find the players who can hole out birdies, because the fantasy points are there to be had, but at the same time, it’s going to be tough to predict the winner. Thomas fits the bill, ranking surprisingly high in a pretty basic stat: Birdie or Better Percentage, a category in which he sits 14th, a trend that could serve him – and you – well this weekend.
Marc Warren ($8,100) – The Scot has finished in the top-35 at the Texas Open and the WCG-Cadillac in March, and finished in the top 25 in three European Tour tournaments in February. And he’s been doing it with scoring chances – he finished +1 at the WCG-Cadillac (for T17) despite 19 birdies. He could shoot his way into contention this weekend.
Jason Bohn ($7,900) – Everyone has some risk when you are looking at less expensive options, but Bohn has managed to remove some of that perceived downside by making eleven of thirteen cuts, and finishing under par in each of the last four tournaments in which he’s played.
Russell Knox ($7,700) – Knox had a round of 64 just last weekend at the RBC Heritage, and he’s shown the ability to string rounds together as recently as the Honda Classic, where he shot four consecutive rounds under par and finished up at T3.
Hudson Swafford ($6,500) – For $6,500 you are managing to secure a player who has holed 200 birdies on the season, a per-hole average just worse than Henrik Stenson and just better than Matt Kuchar. He’s only made the cut in half of his tournaments this season, but this is the kind of course where he could do better than just make the cut, and end up being a useful fantasy option.