2019 Wyndham Championship Picks, Predictions, Preview

Pat Mayo and Geoff Fienberg preview the course and run through the odds while making their 2019 Wyndham Championship Picks. The guys give their fantasy golf picks, provide their one and done strategy for the event from Sedgefield CC.

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2019 Wyndham Championship Field

Field: 156 Players | Top 70 & Ties after 36 Holes
First Tee: Thursday, Aug. 1 at 7 a.m. ET
Defending Champion: Brandt Snedeker

There’s one final event before for the players to jockey for FedEx Cup points in advance of the playoffs: The 2019 Wyndham Championship. It’s also the final opportunity to accrue Wyndham Rewards points, the regular season cash bonus, but no one is catching Brooks Koepka after his win last week. Just another $2 million into Brooks’ bank account — rough life.

After two consecutive weeks of stacked fields at The Open and WGC, you’d expect a severe drop off in the quality of the field in Greensboro, and while there is a drop off, it’s not as pronounced as years past. Jordan Spieth, Webb Simpson, Hideki Matsuyama, Billy Horschel, Paul Casey, Cam Smith, Matthew Wolff, Collin Morikawa, Lucas Bjerregaard, Alex Noren, Viktor Hovland, Doc Redman, Branden Grace, Joaquin Niemann, Chez Reavie, Dylan Fritelli, Charles Howell III, Kiradech Aphibarnrat, Sungjae Im and defending champ Brandt Snedeker will be teeing off in North Carolina. Shane Lowry was signed up to compete, however, The Open party appears to be extended into its second week.

On the second level, Luke List, Ben An, Si WOOOO Kim, Adam Hadwin, Danny Lee, JJ Spaun, Jason Kokrak, Kevin Streelman, Pat Perez, Brendan Steele, Aaron Wise, Corey Conners, Russell Henley, Scott Piercy, Ernie Els, Kyle Stanley, Cameron Champ, Vaughn Taylor, Lucas Glover, Luke Donald, KH Lee and Denny McCarthy strengthen the second tier.

On the FedEx Cup playoffs front, Austin Cook, Ricky Werenski, Martin Trainer, Patton Kizzire, Peter Uihlein, Daniel Berger, Andrew Landry, Branson Burgoon, Shawn Stefani and Wes Roach hold spots 126-135 in the standings and need a solid performance this week to lock up their TOUR cards and get into the Northern Trust a week from now. Other notables on the outside looking in, in desperate need of a high-end finish: Jason Dufner, Bill Haas, Martin Kaymer, Harris English, Zach Johnson, Jimmy Walker and Brendan Steele. Aaron Wise, Brice Garnett, Pat Perez, Sebastian Munoz, Robert Streb and Alex Noren all currently are just inside the Top 125 but likely will need some some points to extend their seasons.

You can project “need” onto golfers in this situation when making your picks. There’s no empirical evidence to support that makes a difference either way, however. But it is a fun narrative, nonetheless.

2019 Wyndham Championship: Key Stats

Strokes Gained: Approach
Par 4s Gained: 400-450 Yards
Par 5s Gained
Proximity Gained 150-175 Yards
Opportunities Gained

Mayo’s Custom Stat POWER RANKINGS from FantasyNational.com

2019 Wyndham Championship: Course

Course: Sedgefield CC
Par: 70
Yards: 7127
Rank: 40/51
Greens: Bermuda
Par 5 Eagles in ’18: 70

2019 Wyndham Championship: Past Winners

2018: Brandt Snedeker -21
2017: Henrik Stenson -22
2016: Si WOOOOO Kim -21
2015: Davis Love III -17
2014: Camilo Villegas -17
2013: Patrick Reed -14
2012: Sergio Garcia -18
2011: Webb Simpson -18
2010: Arjun Atwal -20

2019 Wyndham Championship: Notes

Webb Simpson, Brandt Snedeker, Bill Haas, Johnson Wagner and Billy Horschel have earned the most Strokes Gained: Total at Sedgefield CC over the past five years.

In minimum of five starts over the past five years, Brandt Snedeker, Webb Simpson, Harris English, Peter Malnati, Bill Haas, Sam Saunders, Scott Piercy, Jason Dufner, Scott Langley, Roberto Castro and Troy Merritt have made the cut in every start.

Eight of the 12 Par 4s measure between 400 and 450 yards.

There were 70 eagles combined between the two Par 5s a year ago. Both are reachable by the entire field.

Strokes Gained: Approach has been more than two times as impactful on the Top 5 finishers (1.1 per round) than Strokes Gained: Off The Tee (0.46) and Strokes Gained: Around The Green (0.37). However, of the Top Eight finishers a year ago, five ranked inside the Top 15 in Driving Accuracy.

The Bermuda greens are around TOUR average (6,500 sq. feet) and historically run faster than most PGA greens.

There has been an extreme amount of leaderboard crossover with the RBC Heritage over the years.

Sedgefield, TPC Detroit and East Lake are all Donald Ross-designed courses.

2019 Wyndham Championship Picks — Targets From Each Range

Patrick Reed

The lack of fairways gained off the tee is somewhat problematic, only two of the past eight winners have finished outside the Top 15 in Driving Accuracy for the week, but Reed (along with Snedeker) was one of them! Reed’s an excellent player out of the rough, though, and has been HOT FIYA over the past few months. He rolls into Greensboro with Top 12 results in three of his past four starts, no worse than T32 in his past six starts and gaining an average of more than four strokes on approach in that span. He hasn’t won since the 2018 Masters, so we officially are in a drought, but at a familiar venue, which has seen multiple repeat champions, is a perfect spot to collect another novelty check.

Viktor Hovland

First, Matthew Wolff got his breakthrough. Then Collin Morikawa followed it up with a victory at the Barracuda. Seems like Hovland won’t be too far behind. He fits the accuracy mold, ranking 10th in the field in fairways gained over the past 50 rounds per www.fantasynational.com, and it’s not like the rest of his game is lagging behind. He’s gained off the tee box and through approach in every start as a pro, and he hasn’t finished worse than T16 in any of his past three starts. If his putter finally will cooperate, he’ll at least notch the first Top 10 of career. Maybe more.

Kyle Stanley

After finding himself in Majors and WGCs over the past two seasons, Stanley is back just attempting to churn out quality results and cash paychecks on TOUR. And most of the season, it’s been a poor effort. However, since The Memorial, his ball striking game has reemerged. He’s strung together five straight cuts, with a pair of Top 25 finishes, and gaining Off The Tee and through approaches in every start. Per www.fantasynational.com, Stanley is fourth in the field in fairways gained over the past 24 rounds, sixth in Par 5s gained and eighth in approach. If he can not putt himself out of contention, he’ll have a shot in a birdie-fest.

Peter Malnati

Maker of 13 of his past 14 cuts, per www.fantasynational.com, Malnati has gained with his irons in six of past seven starts and has lost on the greens only once early February. While putting is a high-variance skill year-over-year, Malnati has been one of the few to sustain consistent roll over the years. Digging back into his course form, he’s never missed the weekend at Sedgefield and was Top 10 in the field in SG: APP a year ago, but a poor week off the tee capped his upside at a T24. However, this is the best he’s played entering the Wyndham in his career, sitting seventh in the field in SG: APP over the past 24 rounds and ranks out 24th in Par 4s 400-450 yards, 27th T2G, and 25th in proximity gained from 150-175 yards, where the plurality of iron shots come from this week.

Other notable names appearing near the top of stat models and the win simulator at FantasyNational.com: Webb Simpson, Vaughn Taylor, Martin Kaymer, Chez Reavie, Hideki Matsuyama, Paul Casey, Billy Horschel, Jason Kokrak, Kevin Streelman

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Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. (Subscribe for video or audio). Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2019 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and Podcast of the Year awards, along with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association Best Video award, and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2019 (Best Podcast, Best Video, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year). His 17 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are third-most all-time. Mayo has been recognized across multiple sports (Football, Baseball & Golf), mediums (Video, Writing & Podcasting), genre (Humor), and game formats (Daily Fantasy and Traditions Season Long). Beyond sports, Mayo covers everything from entertainment to pop culture to politics. If you have a fantasy question, general inquiry or snarky comment, ship it to Mayo at ThePatMayoExperience@gmail.com and the best will be addressed on the show.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ThePME) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.