Seth Russell $9000
West Virginia actually has a solid secondary, but Baylor is the best passing attack in the country and any time a team can keep the game within 3 touchdowns, Seth Russell is a good idea as he should throw the ball around 30 times. Baylor has blown out every team this year, but in the games that the opposing team kept the game within FIVE touchdowns, Russell has scored 40+ fantasy points.
Chad Kelly $7400
Ole Miss has a team total of 39 and are facing a Memphis defense that is allowing over 300 yards per game through the air. Kelly has been over 35 fantasy points in 3 of his last 5 games, and the two games that he failed to hit the 35 point mark were against two really good defenses in Vanderbilt and Florida. Memphis is the worst defense Kelly will probably face all year long and he should have no problem torching them all game long.
Zack Langer $6600
Langer has only carried the ball less than 20 times one time this year, and he carried the ball 19 times in that game. He’s scored at least one touchdown in every game and has had 3 multi-touchdown games. East Carolina is allowing 188 rushing yards per game, making the case for Langer even stronger this week.
Wendell Smallwood $6200
Smallwood has been one of the most consistent fantasy options at any position. He’s been between 18 and 28 points every single game and is still slightly underpriced. Baylor’s defense really isn’t that good and Smallwood is as dynamic as they come. He’s also very involved in the passing game, which means he won’t disappear when Baylor pulls away later in the game.
Roger Lewis $8400
If you haven’t been rostering Roger Lewis, you’ve been missing out like crazy. He’s the only receiver in the FBS right now that has multiple 50+ fantasy point games and gets yet another great matchup with Akron. The only formidable passing attack the Zips have faced is Oklahoma in a game that Baker Mayfield threw for 388 and 3 touchdowns. Lewis is getting just under 11 targets per game and averaging 8 catches per game. If he continues with those numbers in this game, he’ll get his fifth 30 fantasy point game.
Keyarris Garrett $6900
With the unfortunate injury to Keevan Lucas, Keyarris Garrett will now be the number 1 option in an incredibly pass heavy offense. Garrett is currently second in the country in targets per game, coming in to this game averaging 14.8. East Carolina is a middle of the road defense by the numbers, but they have some huge holes in their secondary that Dane Evans and Keyarris Garrett should be able to exploit.
Joe Hubener $5700
I might be on an island thinking that Hubener is a great play, but that’s fine with me. I’m not all that interested in his passing skills, as he leaves much to be desired. I’ll be rostering Hubener for his running ability. Last week, he ran the ball 26 times against a TCU defense that is very similar to the OU defense he’ll be playing this week. I’m not expecting 26 carries again, but I could easily see 15 carries and 25-30 passing attempts, giving him a nice floor and a ton of upside.
Mitch Leidner $5300
Playing Leidner will be annoying. Minnesota runs the ball in the redzone and he doesn’t have a ton of talent around him. However, Indiana’s defense is atrocious, allowing 163 rushing yards per game, and an astonishing 325 passing yards per game. Leidner is a massive 6’4” 235 pound monster that is very mobile for his size. Leidner isn’t going to score 30 fantasy points, but against a defense as bad as Indiana, I could definitely see him throwing for 200 and rushing for another 30, while accounting for 3 total touchdowns.
Chris Hairston $5200
Chris Hairston isn’t the sexiest of plays, but for his price and matchup, I love him. He’s going to continue to see 15-20 carries and faces a Tulsa team that has the 6th worst rush defense in the entire FBS, allowing just shy of 270 yards per game on the ground.
Dare Ogunbowale $4900
I like Ogunbowale no matter what in this matchup, but if Taiwan Deal is out because of the ankle injury he suffered last week, Ogunbowale becomes all but a must play. He’s going to see 12-15 carries with Deal and 15-20 without him. Purdue is allowing a ridiculous 216 yards per game on the ground, setting up Ogunbowale for great success at a discounted price.
Isaiah Jones $5800
Jones is a little bit more expensive than I’d like him to be as a value play, but it’s nearly impossible to pass him up at this price. He’s averaging 8 catches on 10 targets per game and gets to face Tulsa, a team that is allowing 284 passing yards per game.
Shelton Gibson $4700
Baylor’s defense has been far from good this year, even though their numbers say they’ve been fine. Shelton Gibson is seeing just over 6 targets per game, most of which are down field. He’s not the safest player, but the fact that WVU will have to try to keep up with the Baylor offense boosts his floor a bit. He’s a safer play this week than he normall is.
Tulsa vs East Carolina (-10.5) O/U 78
This is far and away the best game to target for DFS purposes. Tulsa is one of the better passing attacks in the country, even without Keevan Lucas. Keyarris Garrett is second in the country in targets, and is a great play this week at his price. Josh Atkinson has also stepped up big time this year and should see a few extra targets now as well. Zack Langer and D’Angelo Brewer are both solid plays at their respective prices, while Langer is the better play as he’ll see more touches.
ECU has a quarterback situation that is kind of annoying. I really wanted to write up James Summers instead of Mitch Leidner, but they haven’t declared a starter yet. Blake Kemp came in to the season as the starter, but struggled, resulting in Summers seeing more playing time. Whichever QB is named starter is a solid play in all formats. I already talked about how much I like Isaiah Jones. I also like his WR counterpart Trevon Brown for only $4600. Last but not least, Chris Hairston, who I also talked about already, is a solid value at his price.
Underowned QB/WR Pair
Mitch Leidner/KJ Maye – Minnesota
I mentioned how I like Mitch Leidner already. KJ Maye is his favorite target, getting 7.5 targets per game. Nebraska is the worst pass defense in the entire FBS, which bodes well for Leidner and Kaye to come through for us on Saturday.
Pharoah Cooper $6900
Cooper is an incredible talent, but the matchup with Vanderbilt is nothing to scoff at. To the average fan, hearing the name Vanderbilt might seem a good matchup, but if you know anything about SEC football, you know that Vandy might be one of the best defenses in the conference. Combine their defensive prowess with the fact that Steve Spurrier just up and quit on his team, plus the lack of talent at the quarterback position, and Cooper worries me this week.
Depth Chart News
Nate Sudfeld/Jordan Howard – QB/RB Indiana
No sports books have a line for this game because nobody knows if Sudfeld or Howard are going to be playing. They’re both in play if they play, but if they happen to sit, I’ll be completely avoiding the Indiana offense altogether.
Taiwan Deal – RB Wisconsin
Deal is currently hampered by an ankle injury sustained last week and is questionable to play this week. If he plays, he and Ogunbowale are both solid plays. However, as I mentioned earlier, if Deal sits, Ogunbowale is one of the best plays of the day.