This looks to be one of the most exciting days of football in recent memory, at least from a DFS perspective. We have a plethora of high scoring games, and even a game with a total of 90! There are so many options that it’s tough to narrow it down to just a few, but I’ll do my best to give you guys the best of the best!
Seth Russell $9300
If there was ever a time to force an expensive quarterback in to your lineup, this is that time. Russell hasn’t been forced to air the ball out a ton yet this year and has still only been under 30 fantasy points one time…when he scored 29 agaisnt Lamar in what might have been his worst outing of his career. Texas Tech ranks 115 out of 127 teams in pass defense, allowing 301 yards per game. Russell might have his first 400 yard passing game of the year and another 6 TD performance wouldn’t surprise me.
Greg Ward Jr. $8900
Most weeks we aren’t even blessed with one game over 75 points. This week we have two games over 80! Ward leads the Houston offense in to Tulsa to face one of the 12 pass defenses that is worse than Texas Tech. Tulsa is allowing 305 passing yards per game and 270 rushing yards per game. Not to mention the fact that they allow 39 points per game. I’m expecting huge things from Ward this week and won’t hesitate to fit both Ward and Russell in my cash game lineups.
Aaron Green $7800
Texas is currently allowing 206 rushing yards per game and Green is coming off of back to back 160 yard performances. Green is a touchdown machine, as he’s demonstrated this year by already scoring 7 touchdowns, all of which have come in his last three games. TCU is also a 15 point favorite, which points to positive game flow for Green later in the game.
Shock Linwood $7300
I could continue to rave about the 90 point total in this game or talk about the fact that Baylor is a 17 point favorite so the game script should play out beautifully for Linwood as he’ll get to run the ball against a defense that is allowing 254 rushing yards per game. If Linwood isn’t the top $/point running back this week, I’ll be incredibly Shock-ed.
Corey Coleman $7900
You know the drill. Best receiver in the country, highest team total of the day, great matchup, 301 passing yards per game, yada yada yada. The crazy thing is, Coleman is only $7900, which is very workable. If you like money, play Corey Coleman.
Jakeem Grant $7100
The second best receiver in this slate comes from the other side of the same game. Jakeem Grant is still underpriced. He’s yet to have a game under 25 points and is still only $7100. Tech has a team total of 36.5 and Baylor has some serious issues defensively. I wouldn’t be shocked if TTU kept this game much closer than the 17 point spread and can easily see Grant going for another 25 point game.
Skyler Howard $6500
Finally, a player not from a school in the state of Texas! I think this WVU/OU game ends up going over the 59.5 total and that it turns in to a shootout. Oklahoma gave up 24 points to Tennessee and 38 points to Tulsa. I’m of the opinion that West Virginia is a better offense than both of those teams. Howard has led this team to three straight 40 point games, but they haven’t faced anything close to a tough defense. I dont think WVU keeps up the 40 point streak, but I think Howard throws another 30 passes and approaches 300 yards with 2-3 touchdowns.
Brenden Motley $5700
Here’s your cheap, super sexy play of the day that I think will be very low owned. If you really want to fit in some expensive skill position players, Motley could very well be the magic piece that makes it work. Pittsburgh isn’t exactly a bad defense, but they’re far from being a great defense. Youngstown State scored 37 points on them, which gives me hope that Motley can get the Va Tech offense going. He’s scored at least two touchdowns in every game he’s started and has thrown for 200+ yards as well. For only $5700, he’s kind of a steal.
Madre London $5100
London has yet to do what I expect him to do, but with only ~15 carries per game, it’s hard to expect a ton. His price has finally dropped down to an appropriate level for his production and he has another good matchup. I think London has his best game of the year this week with a 100 yard + a touchdown performance against Purdue, who is allowing 176 yards per game on the ground.
Wendell Smallwood $4900
I mentioned in Skylar Howard’s blurb how I think that game plays out. Smallwood is a very talented back who is involved in the passing game, so his role won’t disappear if OU does get ahead early. I fully expect this game to stay close enough that Smallwood will get his 18 or so carries and catch 3 or 4 passes en route to a fourth straight 20 fantasy point game.
Jay Lee $5500
If you’re looking to pair Seth Russell with one of his receivers, but can’t find a way to pay up for Corey Coleman, Jay Lee is the guy you want. He’s still severely underpriced for his production this year. He had his worst outing of the year last week and still scored 15 fantasy points. I fully expect Lee to score at least 15 this week, with a possible season high on the horizon.
Allen Lazard $4100
This is one price that I just don’t understand. He gets quite possibly the best matchup in all of college football, is the most talented player on all of Iowa State, and is only $4100. Kansas is allowing 288 passing yards per game and has nobody even close to the size of Allen Lazard’s 6’5” 225 pound frame.
Texas Tech vs Baylor (-17) O/U 90
This is the highest over/under that I can remember in my few years of playing DFS. I can’t wait to watch this game and all of it’s fantasy goodness. I don’t feel the need to talk a whole lot about this game because you guys know these teams. They’re on ESPN every week and they’re all well known players. Russell and Coleman is the top QB/WR pairing of the year in this matchup and all of the Baylor skill position players are in play. On the other side of the ball, Patrick Mahomes is dealing with a knee injury and may not play. If he sits, Davis Webb becomes a top play this week. Jakeem Grant is always one of my favorite receivers and Devin Lauderdale is a stud possession receiver. DeAndre Washington was a touchdown machine last week and will be on a ton of my teams this week at only $5500.
Houston (-7) vs Tulsa O/U 81
This game looks to be just as fun from a fantasy perspective as the TTU vs Baylor game is. Both teams have a plethora of weapons and both defenses have huge holes. Houston QB Greg Ward is, as mentioned earlier, my second favorite QB on the slate an should have no problem decimating Tulsa however he pleases. He has a stud receiver in Demarcus Ayers and there’s a nice value play in Steven Dunbar for only $3500. He didn’t catch a pass in the first game against Tennessee Tech, but has since caught 7 passes and 2 touchdowns. Greg Ward is the primary rushing option for Houston, so the running backs aren’t players to build lineups around. Tulsa QB Dane Evans is way too cheap at $7900 agaisnt a Houston offense that is allowing 313 passing yards per game and should have to throw even more late in the game as a 7 point underdog. Keevan Lucas and Keyarris Garrett are two of the most talented receivers in the country and are both under 7k, making them both great plays. Joshua Atkinson has burst on the scene in recent weeks and makes for an incredible value play at only $4400. Houston has a very stingy run defense, so I’d be hesitant to play either Langer or Brewer for Tulsa, as they most likely won’t be very effective this week.
Underowned QB/WR Pair
Baker Mayfield/Sterling Shepard – Oklahoma
There are so many high scoring games and elite players in good matchups this week that people will probably overlook Mayfield and Shepard. Both players are one of the best in the country at their respective positions and are playing in what I think will end up as a shootout with West Virginia.
Cardale Jones QB – Ohio State
Cardale has been less than impressive to start the year and is not someone I’m targeting on a slate full of talent. His price tag is intriguing, especially after somewhat of a bounce back performance last week against Western Michigan. I’ll be staying far away from what, in my opinion, is the most overrated player in all of college football.
Depth Chart News
Patrick Mahomes QB – Texas Tech
Patrick Mahoes is still dealing with a knee injury and is questionable this week agianst Baylor in the highest scoring matchup of the week. Keep an eye on this situation as whichever quarterback, Mahomes or Davis Webb, gets the start is automatically a top play this week.
Maty Mauk QB – Missouri
Maty Mauk got suspended this week for disciplinary issues. Drew Lock has been the primary backup this year and looks to get the start this week against South Carolina. He’s a super punt option for GPP but stay far away from him in cash games.
Shadrach Thornton RB – North Carolina State
This isn’t incredibly fantasy relevant for this week, I just wanted to mention Thornton because he got arrested on Tuesday after hitting a pedestrian with his scooter. He has since been dismissed from the team. This opens up more opportunity for Matthew Dayes who will be a fantasy option later in the year, but not someone I’d actively target this week against a tough Louisville defense.