Oh boy has this already been a fun season of college football! I feel like I need to preface this article by saying that there are about a million solid options this week, but I’ll do my best to give plays at every dollar level in hopes of helping you construct the best roster. As always, feel free (or encouraged) to follow me on Twitter and ask questions @TheJourdanCase! Good luck guys!
Baker Mayfield $9300
Oklahoma has a team total of 51 and Bob Stoops displayed in week one that he doesn’t care what the score is, he’s going to let Mayfield air it out. Baker has yet to throw for 300 yards this season, but has thrown at least 33 passes in each of the first two games and has shown the ability to move the ball with his legs a tiny bit. Tulsa is not a good defense and Mayfield should have no problem picking them apart, similar to the way he did Akron a couple weeks ago.
Paxton Lynch $8900
Lynch completed 22 of 25 passes for 354 yards and 2 touchdowns last week against a bad Kansas defense. This week, he gets a possibly even worse Bowling Green defense. This game has the highest total of any game this week (79), and a very close spread (Memphis -3). There will be points galore and Lynch will be at the origin of most of those points.
Ezekiel Elliot $9900
The Buckeyes have won their two football games by a total of 56 combined points and running backs not named Ezekiel Elliot have combined for 10 carries. That says to me that Zeke is going to get all of the carries no matter what. OSU is a huge favorite, but has a team total of 48, which leaves plenty of touchdowns for Elliot to score against a very mediocre defense.
Josh Ferguson $6300
I’m foregoing all of the great, expensive RB options to write up Josh Ferguson. He is a solid running back that is very involved in the pass game, is playing against a bad defense, and is in a game that looks to be pretty high scoring. Ferguson is the go to player in this Illinois offense no matter the situation and he gets plenty of work close to the goal line. His price is just way too cheap for his matchup and skill set.
Tajae Sharpe $6600
This matchup is far from ideal, but Sharpe is way too cheap to not consider on a full PPR site. Last week, he caught 11 passes for 138 yards, albeit against a bad Colorado defense. Temple is no joke, they’re a good defense and this game isn’t projected to be a high scoring game. However, Sharpe is going to see 12-15 targets, which is a steal for only $6600.
Sterling Shepard $8400
Everything I said in the Baker Mayfield blurb applies to Sterling Shepard as well. OU is going to air it out, and Shepard is quite possibly the best wide receiver in the Big12. Tulsa has what might be the worst secondary in the Conference USA, which isn’t a good thing to have, in case you didn’t know.
Nick Arbuckle $5600M
This might be a very risky play, but Arbuckle has a ton of upside and I still don’t think Oregon has a good defense. Georgia State’s team total is a mere 13 points, which is somewhat discouraging, though I do think they eclipse that total rather easily. Arbuckle has thrown 43 passes in each of the first two games, and should see a similar workload this week. For only $5600, that’s a steal.
Austin Appleby $6000
I debated between both QB’s in this ugly VaTech/Purdue game for a while, but decided on Appleby because he’s going to run more overall and will have game flow working against him in the sense that he’s going to have to throw the ball late, while Motley will be able to rely on his running backs to burn the clock, if things go as projected by Vegas. Appleby has run the ball 12 times in each of the first two games, and could see more opportunity to get out and scramble as the solid VT secondary might keep the receivers covered tight.
Elijah Hood $5400
Coming in to this season, I thought it would be an even split-time share between Hood and TJ Logan. I was wrong. Hood has been the feature back in the UNC offense. Although it isn’t a run-heavy offense, it’s still a good offense that is going to score a lot of points this year, and even in this game. The Illinois defense has looked really good through two games, but I don’t think that is sustainable and that their streak of good defense comes to an abrupt halt against UNC.
Curtis Samuel $4100
Samuel isn’t necessarily someone that I would go all-in on for cash games, but getting some exposure to him wouldn’t be a bad idea. Samuel currently leads the buckeyes in receptions with 9 and also has a receiving TD. They don’t have a solidified number one WR, unless you think Braxton Miller is going to get 10 targets down field every game (which he’s not). Samuel should continue to receive a good amount of targets and is a cheap way to get OSU exposure.
Speedy Noil $4700
Noil has been very underwhelming to start the season, but I think this is the week he finally gets it together and has a signature Speedy Noil game. I can easily see something like 4 receptions for 68 yards and a TD. I’ll take that any day at this price, especially in GPPs.
Brandon Reilly $3700
Reilly has solidified himself as a good number 2 option for the Huskers. The matchup with Miami is far from optimal, but I can easily see Reilly extending his streak of 5 catch games this week. He’s not going to blow the top off of the defense, but he’s going to be a consistent option week to week and his price is way too cheap right now.
Illinois vs North Carolina (-9.5) O/U 64
This is a game that will confuse a lot of people. Illinois has been a very good defense to start the year, but they’ve played very bad teams. That’s still saying something compared to last year, when Illinois allowed teams like Texas State, Purdue, and Northwestern to score 30+ points. UNC should have no problem scoring points against what is still not a good defense, and Illinois (mostly Wes Lunt and Josh Ferguson) will be able to do the same against an improved, yet still lacking defense of UNC.
Memphis (-3) vs Bowling Green O/U 79
The fact that this game has been pushed all the way up to 79 seems a bit outrageous and I’m fairly confident that sharp money will bet this game down a bit as the week progresses. However, it’s still the highest total of the week and a game that will almost assuredly be full of points. Bowling Green went nuts last week on a Maryland defense that is a bit better than this Memphis unit that let KU score 23 points. Both QB’s are in play and should be considered top options. Moze Frazier is the top WR option for Memphis, while Roger Lewis, Ronnie Moore, and Ryan Burbrink are all in play for BGSU.
Western Kentucky vs Indiana (-1.5) O/U 69.5
Just another week of Nate Sudfeld being a great play, but getting overlooked because of all of the other great options. This looks like it should be Sudfeld’s biggest game of the year so far as it’s the worst defense that he’ll face all year. Ricky Jones and Simmie Cobbs are his two favorite targets, and are both rather inexpensive. Jordan Howard is once again one of the top RB plays, but is priced appropriately. WKU has a plethora of good WR’s, but it’s impossible to trust any one of them in cash games. Last but not least, Brandon Doughty is still the most overpriced player in the country and I would stay far away from him in cash games.
Underowned QB/WR Pair
Dane Evans/Keyarris Garrett – Tulsa
I’m not sure if they’re actually going to be underowned, but I feel like I need to mention them. When people think about Tulsa, they think Keevan Lucas, as they should because he’s an incredibly talented player. As Keevan Lucas is having a fine season, Keyarris Garrett has quietly had back to back 20+ fantasy point games and, both without scoring a touchdown. Garrett is the big play guy and I’d go as far to say that he gets his first TD on a big play this year against the Sooners.
De’Veon Smith $7400
I think there will be a lot of people on De’Veon Smith this week after he went completely bonkers on Oregon State last week. Yes, he has a great matchup, but expecting him to continue what he did last week is a little too much. I think there are better options in the slate than to risk a player in a bad offense, even if the matchup is as enticing as it is.
Depth Chart News
Keon Hatcher WR – Arkansas
Hatcher broke his foot last week and is out for 4-6 weeks.
Leshun Daniels RB – Iowa
Daniels is questionable for Saturday’s game against Pitt. If Daniels can’t go, Jordan Canzeri becomes a great value play and is a good idea in all formats.
Corey Clement RB – Wisconsin
Clement is questionable again this week. Dare Ogunbowale and Taiwan Deal are both great values if Clement sits as they should see carries throughout the entire game, no matter the score.