Week 2 of CFB is here! We’ve got plenty to get to, so let’s dive right in! Feel free to follow me on twitter (@TheJourdanCase) if you have any questions or comments, and I’ll get back to you as soon as I can!
Luke Falk – Washington State $9300
Falk had what many would consider a bad game in wet conditions last week against Portland state and he still had 20 fantasy points. I understand that 20 fantasy points isn’t great for a 9k player, but if you consider that his floor, which I think it is, then $9300 doesn’t seem terrible. I fully expect Falk to hit the 300 yard mark and throw at least 2 touchdowns in what is almost assuredly going to be a higher scoring game that last week.
Justin Thomas – Georgia Tech $8500
If you’ve ever rostered Justin Thomas, you know how frustrating it is to do so. He’s generally not going to throw the ball more than 10-15 times so it kind of feels like he’s just a third running back. In all actuality, Thomas is a great player in Georgia Tech’s triple option offense. He has all of the necessary tools to dice up a defense and accrue some massive fantasy lines, as he showed last year on multiple occasions posting 46, 33, and 41 fantasy point days. Tulane was a very average defense against the run last year but looks to be improved this year, but should still be no match for what will be one of the best offenses in the country.
Nick Chubb – Georgia $9800
This one is pretty simple. Chubb is the best running back in the country and Georgia is completely content to not let Grayson Lambert throw the ball at all. Chubb will get his no matter what, whether it comes on 8 or 18 carries, he’s going to be the player in the UGA offense that does the most damage. He scored 27 fantasy points last week and his price came down. If anything, Vanderbilt will be able to keep this game closer that Louisiana-Monroe was able to and Chubb will have a bigger workload. It’s hard to go wrong with Chubb this week.
Wayne Gallman – Clemson $6800
There is no reason for Gallman to still be this cheap. He didn’t see the workload that I expected last week, only carrying the ball 14 times but scoring two touchdowns, but that was partly due to the fact that Clemson won 49-10. Clemson is an 18 point favorite this week against Appalachian State, which gives me some comfort in thinking that Gallman will see a heavier workload than he did last week.
Leonte Carroo – Rutgers $6700
It’s really weird to me that Carroo is so cheap. The matchup is great, he finally has a solid QB to throw him the ball, and he’s a really good player. This game sports one of the highest totals of the day and I think it will easily hit the over, as long as the weather doesn’t ruin Washington State’s offense like it did last week, and Carroo should be a pretty big part of the offense.
Artavis Scott – Clemson $7900
Mike Williams went down last week with a neck injury and will be out for at least 6 weeks. This opens up so much opportunity for Artavis to soak up the targets, but it also means defenses can key in on him more, so we take the good with the bad. Scott is a talented enough player, however, that the increase in targets will definitely outweigh the increase in defensive attention. Clemson has a team total of 33.5, which leaves a total of 4 TD’s out there for Scott to pull down.
Chris Laviano – Rutgers $6800
Laviano isn’t the cheapest option but he’s definitely valuable in this matchup. Rutgers is pegged to score 4 touchdowns, and I could definitely see them scoring more than that seeing as Washington State’s defense is just miserable. Laviano came in to this season as the backup, after Hayden Rettig was named the starter in August, but quickly took over the position after flashing some impressive skill and rapport with stud receiver Leonte Carroo in the season opener against Norfolk State.
Mitch Leidner – Minnesota $5700
Leidner is far from a sexy pick, but I think he’s definitely a valuable option in a slate that isn’t littered with cheap quarterbacks. Leidner is mobile for a massive QB and won’t hesitate to tuck the ball and run with it. He rushed for 50 yards on five separate occasions last year and I wouldn’t be surprised to see that number increase this year without workhorse RB David Cobb.
Leshun Daniels – Iowa $5300
Iowa State was one of the worst defenses in the country last year and doesn’t look to be much improved this year. Leshun carried the ball 26 times last week but had didn’t find the endzone because backup/fullback Jordan Canzeri and quarterback CJ Beathard vultured the goal line work, which shouldn’t be the case most of the time considering Daniels is 6 feet tall and 225 pounds. Iowa is currently a 3.5 point favorite, which bodes well for game flow for Daniels.
CJ Prosise – Notre Dame $5200
I’m not crazy about playing guys against Virginia, but Prosise is too cheap to ignore following the unfortunate injury to Tarean Folston. Prosise carried the ball 20 times on Saturday and should continue to see a similar workload, albeit against a much better defense this week. Notre Dame is almost a two touchdown favorite, so again, game flow should help get him extra touches.
Laquon Treadwell – Ole Miss $5600
This is by far the biggest discrepancy on this slate of games. Treadwell is one of the best receivers in the entire country, playing at home against a bad defense and he’s only $5600. Ole Miss is a 33 point favorite, so there is a chance he doesn’t play the whole game, but taking an elite player when he’s probably 2k cheaper than he should be is just a no brainer.
Allen Lazard – Iowa State $4600
This spot could also go to D’Vario Montgomery or Quenton Bundrage, but I’m of the opinion that Lazard is the best receiver of this impressive ISU WR group. Sam Richardson is far from a great quarterback, but he’s serviceable enough to get the ball to the 6’5” Lazard. Richardson also looked to Lazard in the red zone on multiple occasions, but only connected once. Lazard has the size and skill to end up toward the top of the Big12 in receiving TD’s this year.
Vegas – Who to stack and who to avoid
Washington State vs Rutgers (-2) O/U 62
This game is the bread and butter of the early slate. The weather looks to be better in Piscataway than it was last week in Pullman so this game should actually approach the total. Falk along with his arsenal of receivers are all in play as well as almost all of the Rutgers offense. This game might be sloppy, but it’ll be high scoring and a ton of fun for those of us who have players in our lineups.
Oregon vs Michigan State (-3.5) O/U 67
This game will be in the late slate for which we don’t yet have salaries, but I really wanted to talk about it. Both of these defenses were underwhelming last week. Whether that was just variance, first game kinks, or both teams just being overrated, we don’t know quite yet. It is my opinion that the Oregon defense is going to be very similar to last year’s middle of the road defense and that Michigan State will be above average. If I’m correct in my thinking and this game goes as I think it will, we could easily see 75+ total points. Oregon is arguably the best offense in the country and we haven’t even seen what Vernon Adams can do in that system. Connor Cook is one of the most consistent QB’s in the country, Madre London looks like he’s going to be a stud RB, and Aaron Burbridge could be another valuable weapon.
Oregon State vs Michigan (-16.5) O/U 45
Michigan will probably make their way in to this section quite a bit this year. Their defense is decent and their offense is really bad. They also play at a very slow pace (stupid Big 10) that ruins a lot of fantasy potential. Oregon State is also very bad all around. There aren’t any players I would target heavily in this game outside of taking a GPP risk on Jordan Villamin, who is always a big play threat.
Underowned QB/WR Pairing
Brandon Allen/Keon Hatcher – Arkansas
They might be a little higher owned than I’m expecting after last week’s performance, but this is the best QB/WR duo Arkansas has had in a long time. Allen is a veteran QB that is now in his third year in Brett Bielema’s system. Although it is a run-heavy offense, there is value to be had between Allen and Hatcher. Arkansas has a team total of 38.5, which bodes well for this duo.
Yellow Light (Proceed with caution)
All Ohio State Players
I understand that they have a huge team total (52), but they’re 41 point favorites and they’re playing on a really short week after their Monday night game against Virginia Tech. Hawaii shouldn’t challenge them much and I expect the OSU players to get some extra rest at the end of this game. They will score points, so taking a GPP shot with them is fine, but don’t invest a ton in to them for your cash game lineups.
Injury/Suspension/Depth Chart Alerts
Taysom Hill – QB BYU
Unfortunately, Taysom Hill is out for the season due to a lisfranc injury. This is deeply saddening as he was one of my favorite players in the country to watch, whether it was fantasy relevant or not. If you haven’t seen this video, it’s the emotional reaction of Hill’s favorite wide receiver good friend Mitch Matthews reacting to the news in the locker room. Watch it and try not to cry. http://www.deseretnews.com/article/865636389/BYU-football-team-embraces-Taysom-Hill-in-heart-wrenching-locker-room-video.html
Taurean Folston – RB Notre Dame
Tarean Folston is also out for the season after tearing his ACL in the season opener. CJ Prorise is a viable option in his stead.
Mike Williams – WR Clemson
Williams is out six weeks with a neck injury. Artavis Scott stands to benefit the most from this as he should eat up all of the targets he possibly can.
Michael Brewer – QB Virginia Tech
Yet another injury, Brewer is out 4-6 weeks with a broken clavicle. Brendon Motley is the backup, but did not look promising in the game against Ohio State.
Lamar Jackson – QB Louisville
Finally some news that isn’t injury related! Lamar Jackson has been named the QB for Louisville. He’s a great runner and all-around athlete, but has a tough test against Houston this week.