We’re down to sixteen teams! After all of the upsets over the first round plus, we are sitting with a pretty chalky tournament the rest of the way, for the most part. We get four games on Thursday and then four more on Friday, so let’s take a look at who we should be considering for Thursday’s action. As always, hit me up on Twitter (@Razzle11Grinds) with any questions you may have!
Buddy Hield, Oklahoma vs Texas A&M – $10,900 – Hield has a pretty awesome match-up as Texas A&M has been getting lit up from beyond the three point line, especially recently. I wonder what kind of energy A&M is going to have for the whole game after how much they expelled in that insane comeback against UNI. Hield went nuts in the second half of the game against VCU, as he scored 29 game points in that half.
Brandon Ingram, Duke vs Oregon – $9,500 – The Duke shooters have a solid match-up in this game, as Oregon is not very good at defending the three point line. I honestly can’t decide between Ingram and Allen, so I went with Ingram just because he is $500 cheaper. Duke is going to need both of them to stay hot if they want to pull the upset against the Ducks.
Tyler Dorsey, Oregon vs Duke – $6,700 – On the opposite side of the Duke shooters we have the Ducks and their slashing/driving offense that should be able to get to the rim, as well as clean up any of their misses on the offensive glass. Dorsey stepped up late in the last game and has really hit the boards well for the Ducks lately, and I could see that being the case in this one, as we know Duke is terrible on the defensive boards.
Other Options – Grayson Allen ($10,000), Angel Rodriguez ($7,600), Jordan Woodard ($7,000), Luke Kennard ($6,500), Devonte’ Graham ($6,500)
Davon Reed, Miami vs Villanova – $5,500 – There is definitely a theme to my picks so far, as Reed takes on a Nova team that gets beat from three, and if you take away the recent Virginia game, Reed has gone for 20-30 fantasy points in 8 of 9 games. It is pretty tough to locate value plays in this four game slate, so I think Reed is going to be one of the highest owned players on the slate. If you wanted to be contrarian, you could look to fade him and use Newton in his place. The only thing I worry about with that one is the fact that Newton is not much of a jump shooter.
“Reed has gone for 20-30 fantasy points in 8 of 9 games”
Jalen Brunson, Villanova vs Miami – $5,200 – Brunson is an extremely talented freshman who has had a very up an down first college season. Brunson has gone for 42.5 fantasy points over the last two games, and we have seen his price rise $700 over the course of the last week. I think Brunson’s upside is pretty limited and could understand you looking elsewhere; however, I think he is pretty safe for 18-24 fantasy points.
Other Options – Ja’Quan Newton ($4,800), Admon Gilder ($4,300), Jared Nickens ($3,600)
Dillon Brooks, Oregon vs Duke – $8,400 – This game is the one to target in general, as this should finish as the highest scoring game of the slate, and I think Brooks steps up in this one like he did late in the last one. This game just screams one that should see Brooks put up 35+ DKFP, which should be excellent on this slate, as I think you can try to look more towards 4-4.5x value.
Kris Jenkins, Villanova vs Miami – $6,900 – I love Jenkins, and even though he received a price jump, I still think he is under valued in a match-up where he should have an advantage on the offensive end. Jenkins has gone for 31+ DKFP in five of his last seven games for Nova and is capable of knocking down 5+ threes in this one.
Landen Lucas, Kansas vs Maryland – $6,300 – I love Lucas, as he has really grown this year, and while he could always find himself in foul trouble against Stone or a driving Robert Carter, predicting foul trouble is difficult. He has gone for 63.5 fantasy points so far in the tournament, as he has been dominating on the defensive end.
Other Options – Perry Ellis ($8,500), Daniel Ochefu ($7,900), Elgin Cook ($7,700), Ryan Spangler ($7,200), Jake Layman ($6,900), Diamond Stone ($6,400)
Kamari Murphy, Miami vs Villanova – $5,000 – Murphy has been a stud the last couple of games, and it has really come out of nowhere. He is playing with a lot more confidence than the more experienced Jekiri. He has put up 58.5 fantasy points over the last two games and has seen his minutes climb to 33 and 36. Foul trouble could always bite me with this one, as Jenkins and Ochefu are going to cause problems, but I think Murphy continues his solid tournament run.
“. . . and when he is on the court, he is not afraid to get shots up”
Dwayne Benjamin, Oregon vs Duke – $4,300 – Benjamin is my favorite value play, and maybe it has to do with the successes I had with him last year around tournament time. I think that somebody from each team is going to get into some foul trouble, and as long as that happens, a guy like Benjamin is going to see 20-25 minutes, and when he is on the court, he is not afraid to get shots up. He recently went for 32.5 against Arizona in just 20 minutes.
Jamari Traylor, Kansas vs Maryland – $3,700 – I think Traylor is a GPP option, as he could see 15 minutes in this game, and he has shown an ability to rack up more than a point per minute thanks to his ability to block shots and grab rebounds. He played 18 minutes in the round 1 win and managed to put up 20.25 fantasy points. I think he is in for 10+ points, which may not sound interesting; however, we have to find value plays and we have to cut back on our expectations.
Other Options – Jordan Bell ($5,800), Khadeem Lattin ($5,700), DJ Hogg ($4,200), Darryl Reynolds ($3,900)