Day Number 1 of the NCAA tournament is nearly upon us, and we get 14 games (we do not have access to the two games that have winners of Tuesday night’s play-in games) to work with. Most games are expected to be pretty close, as we have just 3 games expected to be double digit affairs. Kansas, Iowa St., Duke, Iona and, Miami are the teams that are expected to cross the 80 point mark on the day. Build your lineups, sit back, and relax while watching the greatest tournament in the world. If you have any questions, please feel free to hit me up on Twitter (@Razzle11Grinds)!
Grayson Allen – Duke vs UNC-Wilmington – $9,900 – Allen may shoot 30 free throws in this game, as UNCW allows teams to get to the line at an absurd rate and 29% of the points they give up come from the FT line, which is the most in the country. I could have gone with Ingram here; however, I went Allen because he shoots it much better from the FT line. I actually think this game can stay close into the second half before the fouls and free throws really start to stack up.
Isaiah Whitehead – Seton Hall vs Gonzaga – $8,800 –I debated this one quite a bit as Seton Hall takes on a very strong Gonzaga defense. I just can’t pass on Whitehead right now with the way he and Seton Hall have been playing. Whitehead has scored 20+ game points in nine of his last ten games and has gone for 32+ fantasy points in all ten games.
Blake Hamilton – Buffalo vs Miami – $6,900 –Some people might call me crazy with this one, but I really think Buffalo is a sneaky upset pick in this game. They play at a pretty fast pace and while Miami is going to slow them down some, I think that Miami is vulnerable when teams want to push the pace, and they can get out of sync. Hamilton has 50 fantasy point upside to go along with his ability contribute across the board for us, fantasy wise.
Other Options –A.J. English ($10,800), Tyler Ulis ($9,800), Marvelle Harris ($8,800), Jordan McLaughlin ($7,500), Devonte’ Graham ($6,800), Denzel Ingram ($6,000)
Josh Robinson – Austin Peay vs Kansas – $5,800 –I know this game is going to end up extremely lopsided. However, I do not think the Governors are going to just roll over. While they are likely going to lose by 20+, they still have a shot to put up around 70 points in this game. Robinson has 76.25 fantasy points over his last two games and has gone for 25+ in each of his last ten games. He contributes across the board and managed to get to the FT line quite a bit, and he takes 12-14 shots per game.
Willie Conner – Buffalo vs Miami – $4,800 –This is a tough match-up, as I touched on earlier. However, this price is just too low for a guy who has shown a 36 fantasy point upside recently. Miami’s three point allowed is basically the same as Buffalo’s made three point on the season, which bodes well for Conner who is capable of getting hot from beyond the arc. He recently made 6 threes en route to a 36.5 fantasy point performance. Conner is definitely on my GPP radar.
“However, this price is just too low for a guy who has shown a 36 fantasy point upside recently”
Jalen Adams – UCONN vs Colorado – $4,800 –I think Adams hit a wall in the last game against Memphis, and all of those recent minutes really caught up to him. Thankfully he gets a little break to rest those legs and should be in a solid position against a decent Colorado team. We have seen his performances fluctuate quite a bit, so he isn’t the safest option on the board.
Julien Lewis – Fresno St. vs Utah – $4,400 –While the match-up is not the easiest, Lewis is still way too cheap. We got to use him the other day for $3,600, and he went out and put up 23.25 fantasy points for us. To add to that, just three games ago he went for 39.5 points. Lewis is going to play 35+ minutes, and he is going to take 10+ shots in this one. It’s tough to pass on that kind of court time and usage at this price point.
Other Options –Nick Victor ($5,800), Brandon Taylor ($5,800), Davon Reed ($5,300), Dee Oldham ($4,500), Lucas Woodhouse ($4,400), C.J. Bryce ($4,200), Jared Savage ($4,100)
Jameel Warney – Stony Brook vs Kentucky – $10,500 – The day has finally come. I get to use Warney in an NCAA tournament game against a Kentucky team that has size down low, but lacks a consistent performer in the paint. Warney has gone for 62+ fantasy points in two of his last three games, and I think he is going to be amped up for this one.
Ben Bentil – Providence vs USC – $9,800 – I don’t think USC has anybody who can check Bentil in this one, and I expect him to continue his hot ways and could approach 50+ against Southern Cal. I understand he is coming off an absolutely terrible game, and I think he uses that as motivation against a fast paced USC squad. Bentil is going to be a staple in my lineups, as the match-up is just too nice to pass up.
Taurean Prince – Baylor vs Yale – $8,100 – Prince struggled in the last game against Kansas, but he had put up back-to-back double-doubles prior to that. On top of that, I never like to go against a senior in the NCAA tournament. This match-up is tougher than you might think at first glance; however, I do not see Yale having somebody who can work from the outside in the way that Prince is able to.
Tre’ McLean – Chattanooga vs Indiana – $7,000 – Indiana allows 56.3% of the points against them to be scored from 2 point range, and McLean is the guy that is going to be able to get them on the board on the inside. He will step out and put up some threes at times; however, he is the guy that they are going to need down low, grabbing rebounds and getting put backs if Chattanooga wants to have a chance in this game. McLean has gone for a high of 55.25 fantasy points over his last seven games.
Other Options –Georges Niang ($10,000), Chris Horton ($9,100), Justin Sears ($8,300), Kelan Martin ($8,100), A.J. Hammons ($7,900), Desi Rodriguez ($6,200)
Cullen Russo – Fresno St. vs Utah – $5,400 – Russo was extremely popular last week, as he was priced at just $4,500, and he then went out and put up a pretty unspectacular 12.75 fantasy points. This match-up is definitely difficult, but so was the last one against a very tough San Diego St. team. If you take out the last game, Russo had gone for 21+ fantasy points in ten straight games. I actually believe that Fresno St. could give Utah a run in this one after Utah was absolutely destroyed by Oregon in the Pac-12 championship.
“If you take out the last game, Russo had gone for 21+ fantasy points in ten straight games”
Roger Woods – Arkansas-Little Rock vs Purdue – $4,900 – Woods is coming off of a 38.25 fantasy point performance, and he recently went for 42 fantasy points, so we know he has the upside we need in our GPP lineups. The opponent is very tough, as Purdue has a top defense in the country. Arkansas-Little Rock is expected to keep this game pretty close, which will probably surprise you; however, it shouldn’t, as they have a very strong defense themselves.
Jervon Pressley – Hampton vs Virginia – $4,200 – Pressley definitely falls into the GPP-only category, as the match-up is extremely difficult, and he has a tendency to disappear. With that said, he is coming off of a 26.25 fantasy point performance and has a high of 32 over his last eight games. Pressley helps me fit an extra stud into my lineup, so I am definitely going to be using him in spots.
Kenny Jones – Austin Peay vs Kansas – $4,000 – Jones is an interesting option as his minutes have been declining. However, he has gone for 45 fantasy points in a game in the last month or so. He has the kind of upside that can help you win a GPP, but he also has the downside that can definitely hurt a lineup.
Other Options – Jordan Loveridge ($5,300), Aaron Ross ($5,000), Amida Brimah ($4,700), Lis Shoshi ($4,200), Dionte Adams ($3,800), Marcus Bryan ($3,800), Nick Perkins ($3,800)