You might be asking yourself, “what am I going to do after the fun filled opening weekend of the NCAA tournament?” Well I have an answer for you, jump right back into some fantasy action with the NIT going on tonight.

 

Tournament Alert

We have money up for grabs at all different price points today. Take your shots to be the big winner below in college hoops.

$1K Full Court Press #2– $27 Entry

$1K Buzzer Beater #2– $3 Entry

 

Game Analysis

We get a three game, NIT slate tonight and there is plenty of money out there to be own.  The first game of the night features Louisiana Tech traveling to Texas A&M. This game offers us an O/U at 143 with A&M being a 3.5 point favorite. The second game of the night features Illinois St and Old Dominion.  This game has the lowest O/U of the night at 127.5 with Old Dominion being 4.5 point favorites.  I think this game plays slightly faster than that total and should sit in the mid 130’s.  The last game of the night is between Murray St and Tulsa.  This game has Tulsa favored by 3 points with an O/U of 142.

 

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GUARD TARGETS

Studs

 
  • Cameron Payne, Murray St ($10,000) – Payne put up 40.25 fantasy points in Murray St’s first round game against UTEP and he did that by taking the third most shots on the team.  He seemed to play back seat to both Williams and Sapp but managed a 14-10-7 line.  He takes 34% of the shots and assists on 39% of the teams made baskets on the season and he also takes nearly 7 threes per game.  I think he offers a 60 point fantasy upside and should be a lock to go for 40+ tonight against Tulsa.
 
  • Trey Freeman, Old Dominion ($9,500) – Freeman has gone for 37+ fantasy points in 6 of his last 7 games and is coming off of a triple double against Charleston Southern.  I think Freeman will be over looked as people will want to pay up for Payne instead as the ODU game offers an O/U at just 127 compared to 142 for Murray St. I think we can get him at a very low owned number and really have a leg up if he manages to out produce Payne. Realize that Freeman has been doing his fantasy damage in low scoring affairs nearly all year, so a 127 O/U should have not much affect on his final line.
 
  • Jalen Jones, Texas A&M ($8,000) – Jones went for 25 and 8 against Montana en route to a 38 fantasy point game as he really stepped up in the absence of Danuel House.  Louisana Tech is a pretty good team and I am torn on what I think Jones’ ownership % will be.  On one hand, you have a player that everybody used or had the chance to use all season long and he generally played pretty well for us.  On the other hand, we have a few plays from smaller schools that I like more which could leave Jones overlooked.
 
  • James Woodard, Tulsa ($7,500) – We got to see what Woodard is capable of just 2 weeks ago when he made 10 threes and put up 44 fantasy points.  He is coming off of a 15 and 10 double double that saw him produce 32 fantasy points against William & Mary.  He takes the most shots on Tulsa and averages over 7 three attempts per game and should make 3+ of those attempts.  This game is going to be a pace up affair for Tulsa which could lead to a number of open looks for Woodard.
 

 

 

Values

 
  • Alex Hamilton, Louisiana Tech ($4,600) – Hamilton is definitely a GPP only play as his minutes have ranged between 18 and 40 over his last 10 games.  He was an extremely popular pick a week ago only to come out and put up just 9.5 fantasy points in 18 minutes.  He has shown 36 fantasy point upside over his last 10 but has not topped 23 in his last 4 games, with an average of 14.25 points over those 4 games.       
 
  • Alex Robinson, Texas A&M ($4,500) – Robinson has been the main beneficiary of the injury to House and last that I read, House is still expected to be out tonight.  Robinson has gone for 14, 19.5 and 34.25 fantasy points over his last 3 games and seems to be becoming more and more confident each game.  He was a big part of their offense the last time out as he went for 15, 8 and 5 en route to those 34.25 points.
 

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FORWARD TARGETS

Studs

 
  • Jarvis Williams, Murray St ($8,600) – Williams went for a 25 and 14 double double in Murray St’s win over UTEP last week and should be able to get us another double double tonight against Tulsa as he has double doubles in 3 of his last 4 games.  His price is a lot friendlier than that of his teammate’s (Payne).  I think stacking these two together could pay off handsomely tonight as they are two very active guys that should be able to do it all tonight in what will probably end up the highest scoring game.
 
  • Kourtney Roberson, Texas A&M ($6,800) – I list Roberson as somebody who could be a great contrarian play to set yourself apart from the field tonight.  He has been pretty blah of late, having not topped 21 fantasy points in any of his last 3 games.  Prior to that, he was routinely sitting between 28 and 32 points.  He has been very solid on the boards but seems to have been an afterthought on the offensive end and because of this, I would expect his ownership in larger field GPP’s to be under 5%.
 

There just aren’t a lot of stud options at the Forward position tonight and we are really going to have to find some gems so that we can pay way up at the guard position.

 

Values

 
  • Jonathan Fairell, Murray St ($4,900) – Fairell is the third Murray St player on my list and might be 4th on my list from his team, behind Sapp as well.  Even though I say that, his price at just $4.9K makes him an intriguing option for me.  He has gone for 22.75, 20 and 23 points over his last 3 games and has shown us double double upside over his last 10.  I think tonight is going to come down to picking the right Forward combination and if Fairell is able to go for a 10 and 10 double double, he could set you up very well.
 
  • Deontae Hawkins, Illinois St ($4,900) – Hawkins has more GPP upside than Fairell offers but he also offers the lower floor tonight in a game that has an O/U at just 127.  Hawkins put up 14.25 fantasy points the last time out without scoring a single game point.  Just two weeks ago, Hawkins put up 17 and 7 en route to 32.25 fantasy points against Evansville.  He has ranged between 6 and 32 fantasy points over his last 5 and could be the type of boom or bust option you need to win your GPP tonight.
 
  • Denzell Taylor, Old Dominion ($3,700) – Taylor is coming off of a 17.75 fantasy point performance in 32 minutes of action.  He does not offer extremely high upside as I think he tops out around 19-20 points, but for his $3.7K price tag all we are looking to get is 14.8 for him to hit value.  That is a number that he has topped in 3 of his last 4 games and should be able to make that a 4th game tonight against Illinois St.
 

That’s what we have for today and hopefully its a great day for you guys.  Hit me up on twitter, @Razzle11Grinds, if you have any questions or even news to share.  I will certainly do my best to share injury news.