Selection Sunday is upon us. However, we have some business to attend to first. There are five NCAA tournament bids to settle today, and we have four of them as part of our slate of games. Each of the four games is expected to finish between 144 and 148 in terms of total points. All four games are expected to be highly contested as well, as the highest spread is 4. Let’s take a look at who we should be considering, and, as always, hit me up on Twitter (@Razzle11Grinds) with any questions you might have!
Denzel Valentine – Michigan St. vs Purdue – $10,900 – I think it’s safe to say that Valentine is the top option on the day, as he is on triple-double alert as soon as he steps on the court. He went for 57 fantasy points the first time these two teams met, and he finished that game 2 rebounds shy of that triple-double. Michigan St. is playing for a 1 seed in the tournament, as Villanova and Virginia went down in their title games, so look for Valentine and the Spartans to try and make a statement.
Daniel Hamilton – UCONN vs Memphis – $8,600 – Hamilton has dominated Memphis on the season, and he has dominated the AAC tournament so far. He has 77.25 fantasy points in the two games against Memphis this season, and in the AAC tournament he has 99.75 fantasy points. While that is helped by the 63 in 4 OT against Cincinnati, they didn’t all come in the OT. I am worried about fatigue a bit; however, the team showed very little signs of it against Temple.
JeQuan Lewis – VCU vs St. Joseph’s – $6,200 – Lewis is just too cheap for VCU, as he has been one of their best players all season. He has been more up and down recently. However, he played extremely well in the easy win against Davidson on Saturday, and this game fits him pretty well, as it will be up-tempo. The last time these two teams met, Lewis went for 39.5 fantasy points. This game is expected to be the highest scoring of the slate and definitely should have the most possessions.
Other Options – Tyler Ulis ($9,700), Melvin Johnson ($7,700), Jalen Jones ($7,200), Korey Billbury ($6,400), Trahson Burrell ($6,200)
Jalen Adams – UCONN vs Memphis – $5,000 – Adams is growing before our eyes, as he has come alive in the AAC tournament. After hitting the miracle shot and putting up 41 fantasy points on Friday, he showed that he definitely was not tired and put up 32.75 on Saturday against a tough Temple defense. Adams put up just 35.25 fantasy points against Memphis in two games. However, that was prior to his emergence on the court. His minutes are pretty solid, and he should offer us 25+ in this one.
“St. Joseph’s is going to need him to get back to the hot shooting if they want to pull of the win”
Aaron Brown – St. Joseph’s vs VCU – $4,500 – Brown was insanely popular on Saturday, and I think he is going to be even more popular today, even though he really under performed. There is not a lot of strong value today, so we are going to have to find guys who have the upside, even if it comes with a low floor. He has been shooting the ball extremely well, and St. Joseph’s is going to need him to get back to the hot shooting if they want to pull of the win.
Markel Crawford – Memphis vs UCONN – $3,800 – Crawford’s spot in this section all depends on the health of Avery Woodson, as he sat out Saturday’s game with a shoulder injury. Crawford played 35 minutes on Saturday and managed to put up a 10 and 10 double-double en route to 32.5 fantasy points. Should Woodson play, I might avoid the entire situation, as he could always re-injure his shoulder.
Other Options – Bryn Forbes ($5,900), Rapheal Davis ($5,200), Rodney Purvis ($5,100), Anthony Collins ($4,500), Eron Harris ($4,400), Shavar Newkirk ($4,300), P.J. Thompson ($3,900)
Isaiah Miles – St. Joseph’s vs VCU – $8,500 – Miles has put up 74.25 fantasy points so far in the A10 Tournament and faces a team that he managed to put up 47.75 against this season. I really love this game, as I think it is going to be very hectic and could certainly end up approaching 160+ points. The first meeting between these two teams saw 167 put up on the scoreboard.
A.J. Hammons – Purdue vs Michigan St – $8,200 – Hammons went for 55.75 fantasy points the only time that these two met this season, and while that may sound like an outlier of a performance, it definitely is not, as Hammons has a ridiculous upside. He went for 49.25 on Saturday against Michigan, so he is playing extremely well. At this point in the season, Painter has to let the big dog eat and get up 30+ minutes, as the only one that can really slow him down is his own coach most of the time.
Other Options – DeAndre’ Bembry ($9,000), Matt Costello ($7,400), Caleb Swanigan ($6,500), Tyler Davis ($6,500)
Mo Alie-Cox – VCU vs St. Joseph’s – $5,900 – Alie-Cox was EXTREMELY popular on Saturday, and while I think his ownership % goes down slightly today, I think he is a great play, as he has been a lock for 22-30 fantasy points over the last month or so. Alie-Cox has been a block machine lately, and while it is tough to block St. Joseph’s shots, I think he gets more than the 1 he had the last time these two teams met. He went for 23.75 fantasy points in that contest, and I have to believe that is around his floor in this one with the way he has been playing.
“I think [he] offers a mismatch on the offensive end in this one”
Derek Willis – Kentucky vs Texas A&M – $5,700 – Willis looked extremely solid on Saturday, as he came off the bench and put up 31.75 fantasy points in 25 minutes with Labissiere in foul trouble. I think Willis offers a mismatch on the offensive end in this one, and I think he could find himself back in the starting lineup. This is definitely a GPP play, as we just don’t know what the big man rotation is going to be for Kentucky.
Justin Tillman – VCU vs St. Joseph’s – $4,700 – Tillman is extremely athletic, and I could see that getting him extra minutes in this game. Tillman looked insanely explosive in the second half on Saturday. While his final stat line was nothing to write home about, he has some pretty impressive games over the last few weeks, so I can see him as a decent value play on a day where value is tough to find.
Other Options – Alex Poythress ($5,700), Deyonta Davis ($5,400), James Demery ($4,800), Papa Ndao ($3,800)