We have a beautiful 12 game slate to research tonight as we have a bunch of very interesting match-ups and a good amount of games with totals between 145 and 160, which is always a bonus for our fantasy lineups. It will be very interesting as both the #1 and #3 ranked teams are on the road in extremely tough match-ups and according to kenpom.com, they are both projected to lose by a point. Let’s take a look at some of the guys we need to be considering and as always, hit me up on twitter (@Razzle11Grinds)!
Kris Dunn ($10,900) – On a slate of this size, I think you can look to fade Dunn as his price tag is definitely prohibitive. The problem with fading Dunn is you are hoping that he gets nowhere near where his ceiling is as he is capable of putting up monster stat lines any time he takes the floor. He has basically averaged 48 fantasy points a game over his last three and that is tough to ignore, even when he basically needs 55 to get us 5x his value. If we can put together enough value plays, Dunn definitely is in play.
Maurice Watson Jr. ($7,600) – This Creighton-Providence game is going to be a lot of fun and I think Watson is going to be able to hold his own up against Dunn. Watson has put up 81.25 fantasy points over the last two games and has been shooting the ball extremely well as well as dishing out the assists as he has 30 of them over his last 4 games (14 of them in the last game).
Jamal Murray ($7,600) – I am expecting an explosion out of Murray tonight as he has been pretty mediocre recently as he has been very game point reliant over the last handful of games. The nice thing is he is going to take the most shots on Kentucky in this game and Kentucky is expected to be one of the top couple teams in terms of scoring on the night. I am thinking a 25-7-4 line with a couple of threes and a few blocks/steals.
Wade Baldwin IV ($7,400) – I think this game fits Baldwin perfectly as Auburn is going to try and play fast, which opens up the floor for Vandy and Baldwin should be able to thrive with the ball in his hands. Vandy is projected to put up the most points on the night. Baldwin is capable of firing up double digit shots from the field to go with 6+ from beyond the arc while also being able to get to the line double digit times. The scoring opportunities will be there for Baldwin.
Other Options – Jack Gibbs ($9,800), Monte Morris ($8,600), Charles Cooke ($7,900), Isaiah Taylor ($7,300), Jabril Durham ($7,200), Jalen Jones ($7,100), Anthlon Bell ($6,800), Alex Caruso ($6,400)
Malik Newman ($5,200) – Newman is one of my favorite freshman in the country and he just never seems to be highly owned, even when he is under priced. Mississippi St is going to need a solid game from Newman in this one if they are going to pull off the upset against Kentucky. Most people are going to see the 12.75 fantasy point performance the last time out and look elsewhere.
Barry Brown ($5,100) – Brown’s price has shot up $1400 over the last week and a half and at this point he is still under priced as he has put up 87 fantasy points over his last three games. I would temper the expectations as this game is supposed to be one of the lower scoring games of the night, however it is expected to be a very close contest. Brown has taken 39 shots over the last three games and I like his chances of putting up 10+ in this one as well.
M. Abdur-Rahkman ($4,800) – MAR has really been the main beneficiary of the LeVert injury and as of right now it appears that LeVert is very doubtful for this game. This is going to be a tough match-up for Michigan, however MAR has been very solid and is coming off of a monster 38 fantasy point game against a very strong defensive team in Purdue. MAR is very scoring dependent which scares me a little bit, however I think he makes a great GPP option.
Aubrey Dawkins ($3,700) – This one is more of a gut feeling thing as Dawkins has not been all too solid this season, however he always seems to have an explosive game or two in him and Michigan is going to need some guys to step up to have a shot in this one. Dawkins had two 24+ fantasy point games in December and I think now is a great time for his first in January.
Other Options – Zak Irvin ($5,600), Bryce Brown ($5,200), KeVaughn Allen ($5,000), Quinndary Weatherspoon ($4,900), Jordan Watkins ($4,300), Eric Davis Jr. ($4,100)
Moses Kingsley ($9,200) – Kingsley has pretty strong upside as he recently had a streak of four consecutive 44+ fantasy point games. I think he has the opportunity to dominate the paint in this one as Mizzou basically has nobody that can check him. He should be able to clean up the glass, get easy put backs and he probably will end up at the foul line 10+ times in this one.
Georges Niang ($8,800) – Niang is in a great spot as this Texas team lacks any kind of athletic size and I can see both Niang and McKay going nuts in this one. Niang is coming off of a 45 fantasy point performance and has a high of 59.5 over his last nine games. Iowa St is always one of the highest scoring teams in terms of projected points on any night that they take the court.
Ben Bentil ($8,600) – I think Bentil is my favorite Providence play in this one, even though he has the tougher match-up than Dunn does. Creighton is pretty solid inside, however Bentil is extremely athletic and can put up a few shots from beyond the arc. He is coming off of a 42.25 fantasy point performance and also recently went for 57 points.
Perry Ellis ($7,700) – I really like Ellis in a game that could be very up and down with the pressing style of WVA. Ellis can handle the ball a little bit and is capable of hitting some transition threes while also having double-doubled in the last two games.
Robert Carter ($7,400) – I really like Carter in this one as I think he is a match-up nightmare for Michigan as they don’t have the big man athleticism that it will take to follow up all over the floor. He is not afraid to step outside, but he is also willing to drive and slash his way to the rim.
Other Options – Jameel McKay ($8,200), Tyler Harris ($8,000), Nigel Hayes ($8,000), Damian Jones ($7,700), Dyshawn Pierre ($6,600), Diamond Stone ($6,300)
Alex Poythress ($5,800) – Poythress is coming off of a 33.75 fantasy point performance where he managed to play 34 minutes and I think he is in line for something similar in this one as Mississippi St has nobody that can compete with his size and athleticism.
Isaiah Wilkins ($4,500) – I really love Wilkins, who is coming off of a terrible performance in which he really hurt a ton of fantasy lineups. He has recently shown us 30 fantasy point upside, which is tough to ignore at just $4.5K. He’s not a huge part of the offense, however he has his hand in nearly every aspect of the game as when he scored 30 fantasy points, he put up just 6 game points.
Mark Donnal ($4,100) – I think this is a tough match-up for Donnal as he is going to have to battle with Dodd and Stone, however at just $4.1K it is tough ignore his recent performances. He has gone for 91.5 fantasy points over his last three games and could certainly pay off his salary with just a 20 fantasy point performance in this one.
Justin Leon ($3,800) – Leon’s roll has grown significantly and is coming off of his best game of the season as he went for 25.75 fantasy points in 25 minutes of action. He really showed me quite a bit in the last game against LSU and I would expect to see him out there for 22+ minutes in this game against Texas A&M.
Other Options – Jordon Granger ($4,800), Kamari Murphy ($4,700), Mike Tobey ($4,600), Justin Gray ($4,300), Jakeenan Gant ($3,500), Sam Miller ($3,000)