We will take a look at some of today’s top overall plays as well as some value plays to help you fit in your studs.  Make sure you take your shot at qualifying for the March Mania Bracket Tournament!

 

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Game Analysis

Tonight brings us a 9 game slate with a tight range of O/U’s, as they range from 122 to 133.  No game really stands out as must targets and I think that makes roster construction a lot more fun.  We do not necessarily have to worry about game projections and tempos and get to select players based on what they offer us on a nightly basis.  For those that want to be able to target certain games, if I had to choose a couple, I would look at the Minnesota-Michigan St and Arizona-Colorado contests.

 

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GUARD TARGETS

Studs

 
  • Anthony Brown, Stanford ($8,700) – Brown is capable of doing everything on the floor and has strong double double upside from the Guard position.  He has 24 rebounds over the last 2 games and 44 of them over his last 5 games.  He’s not afraid to shoot from deep and will add a few 3’s to his stat line tonight.  This game does have the lowest O/U of the night, however that should not be a huge detriment thanks to all the games having similar O/U’s.
 
  • Gary Payton II, Oregon St ($8,500) – Payton has triple double upside for the Beavers and he is by far their best player.  He gets the tempo boost tonight against Stanford and the few extra possessions should equal a few more opportunities to dish out assists and make some jumpers.  Payton is generally pretty under owned and I think tonight will be the same.
 
  • Will Cummings, Temple ($7,800) – You might be sensing a theme by now, as Brown, Payton and Cummings all do everything on the court for their teams and that’s a great thing to target in DFS as even if their shots are off, they contribute on the boards and dishing out assists.  Cummings does not shoot the ball very well from deep, however is at his best attacking the rim and gets to the free throw line quite often.  He is coming off of a 19 fantasy point performance and I look for him to bounce back to the 30+ mark.
 
  • T.J. McConnell, Arizona ($7,700) – McConnell is coming off of a couple of mediocre games, however prior to that had put up 32.75+ in 3 straight games and I look for him to get back to that mark tonight.  Arizona is double digit favorites on the road, however I think this game stays closer for most of it and McConnell will have his hand in a lot of what Arizona does on offense.  He has double double upside and should be in line for 15 and 8 tonight along with some rebounds and 3’s.
 

 

Values

 
  • Cavon Baker, Houston ($3,100) – Baker is a high risk/high reward GPP play.  He is returning from suspension and has a chance to pick up big minutes with the season ending injury to L.J. Rose.  He filled in for Rose early in the season and managed to put up 4 double digit scoring games along with a double double.  At $3.1K, he offers the possibility of getting you 8x return, but of course he offers next to nothing as a floor.
 
  • Nick Fuller, Nebraska ($3,000) – Over the last two games Fuller has averaged 28 minutes, 8.5 pts and 5 rebounds which equals out to 16 fantasy points per game.  That kind of output will get us over 5x return on his minimum salary.  It appears that coach Miles is going to play the guys that are performing and playing well, which Fuller is definitely doing his best to continue to see 25+ minutes.
 

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FORWARD TARGETS

Studs

 
  • Branden Dawson, Michigan St ($8,800) – Dawson is probably my top overall play of the day as I just do not see Minnesota being able to keep him off the glass.  He has been a double double machine over the last month and a half and that should continue tonight against Minnesota at home.  Dawson offers us 50 point upside at just $8.8K and he has a good shot at going for 40+ tonight.
 
  • Austin Nichols, Memphis ($7,300) – Nichols is playing some great basketball since returning from injury and will look to keep that up tonight against SMU.  The last time out against SMU, Nichols put up just 17.75 fantasy points against a solid interior.  He’s just playing too good to ignore right now and is not afraid to put up 20+ shots.
 
  • Savon Goodman, Arizona St ($7,300) – Goodman is coming off of a 19.25 fantasy point performance and will look to get back on the double double wagon.  The match-up against Utah tonight is far from ideal, however the last time out against them he went for 9 points and 10 boards in 24 minutes of action.  I think something along the lines of 14 and 10 is on tap for tonight and he offers 40 fantasy point upside.
 
  • Josh Scott, Colorado ($6,800) – Scott is definitely under priced considering his monster upside.  He has been inconsistent of late and I am sure a lot of that has to do with his back issues.  He is going to play through them and the Buffaloes will need him tonight if they want to pull the upset at home against Arizona.  He is coming off of a 9.25 fantasy point performance and I think that will keep his ownership extremely low.  The game prior to that he put up 34.25 points thanks to a 10 and 17 double double.
 

 

Values

 
  • Wesley Gordon, Colorado ($4,700) – Gordon is averaging about 19 fantasy points per game over his last 4 and that average puts him above what he needs to get in order to hit 4x value.  He has double double upside and could very much go for a 14 and 12 game tonight against Arizona.
 
  • Reid Travis, Stanford ($3,600) – Travis’ minutes appear to be trending upwards and he has shown to have some very good basketball ability throughout the year.  He is coming off of a 15.5 fantasy point performance in 28 minutes of action.  Its tough to find double double upside from somebody near min salary, but that is ultimately what Travis offers us in the right spot.
 

 

That’s what we have for today and hopefully its a great day for you guys.  Certainly hoping I can take down one of the March Mania Tournament qualifiers today and save me some stress!  Hit me up on twitter, @Razzle11Grinds, if you have any questions or even news to share.  I will certainly do my best to share injury news.