We will take a look at some of today’s top overall plays as well as some value plays to help you fit in your studs.  Make sure you take your shot at qualifying for the March Mania Bracket Tournament!

 

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Game Analysis

Sunday brings us a very nice 11 game slate to end our weekend.  There are a number of games that should provide quite a bit of fantasy goodness today.  At the time of writing, the O/U’s have not been posted, I will try to get back in and update it should I get them in time as I am on the road.  We get a couple of Pac-12 games to act as the hammers for the slate and I definitely suggest making sure you have exposure to them as they tend to be some of the higher scoring games.

 

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GUARD TARGETS

Studs

 
  • Nigel Williams-Goss, Washington ($9,400) – Williams-Goss does a little bit of everything for Washington and is their best scoring threat.  Washington State’s defense does not put much scare in me and I feel like Williams-Goss should be able to get what he pleases.  He is coming off of a 35.75 fantasy point performance and has shown us nearly 50 point upside.
 
  • Terran Petteway, Nebraska ($8,800) – Petteway is coming off of a very sub-par game and I look for him to bounce back against Iowa as this game offers a slight pace up for Nebraska.  Even with his off game, he still managed to put up 24.5 fantasy points, thanks to his 9 assists.  His price has climbed up even after a couple of bad outings and I think that will leave his ownership level pretty low considering the options around his price point.
 
  • Daniel Hamilton, Connecticut ($8,000) – Hate to appear to be chasing points here, however Hamilton has been pretty solid of late and been UCONN’s best player over the last few games.  He has double doubles in 2 of his last 3 games and is coming off of a 54.25 fantasy point performance.  I look for him to continue his solid play against Tulane.
 
  • Malcolm Brogdon, Virginia ($7,500) – Brogdon has been playing extremely well since Anderson went down with injury.  He hasn’t shown us a monster game in awhile, as his highest point total over his last 10 is 30.75. With that said, he is hovering near the 30 point mark and that is all we need to see to hit 4x value.  Florida State will try to push the tempo slightly and that offers us a slight boost in Virginia’s possessions.  I do not think FSU will make much of a game out of it, however Brogdon’s minutes are pretty safe in the mid to upper 30’s.
 
  • James Blackmon JR, Indiana ($7,100) – We get a $400 price drop on Blackmon after he put up an uninspiring 19.25 fantasy points in his last game.  I think he is in a great spot to bounce back against Rutgers and has shown us 40 point upside.  I look for him to get back into the 30’s and offer us a great return on his slightly lowered price tag.
 

 

Values

 
  • Dexter Kernich-Drew, Washington St ($4,600) – Kernich-Drew has really found his shooting stroke of late and is playing big time minutes for Washington St.  He has averaged 26.5 fantasy points per game over his last 3 and has been shooting lights out from deep as he is 14 for 25 over that span.
 
  • Markel Crawford, Memphis ($4,500) – Memphis seems to be trimming down its rotation and that means more minutes for the starters recently.  I generally dislike trying to guess who is going to get it going for Memphis, but getting a solid player like Crawford at $4.5K with a minute total around the mid 30’s is a good thing to take a look at.  He’s been hovering around the 16-17 fantasy point mark the last few but has shown us the ability for low to mid 20’s and I would be glad to get 18-22 out of his price.
 
  • Elijah Stewart, USC ($4,200) – Stewart is very much dependent on the status of his teammate, Jordan McLaughlin and you should monitor his status closely.  Should Stewart be in the starting lineup again, he makes for a plug and play for me. He has a 33.75 fantasy point performance while filling in for McLaughlin.  Arizona St can play at a fast pace and I think Stewart could get us a 25-30 point game should be see starter’s minutes in this one.
 

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FORWARD TARGETS

Studs

 
  • Branden Dawson, Michigan State ($9,000) – I am a huge Dawson fan and feel like he should have a field day on the glass today against Illinois.  He is coming off of back to back double doubles and a 46.75 fantasy point performance against Michigan.  I would not be shocked to see another 20+ and 10+ performance for him today. The last time out against Illinois he only mustered 19.5 fantasy points and I look to see him double that today.
 
  • Josh Hawkinson, Washington State ($8,900) – Hawkinson is coming off of a couple rough games and he gets a great match-up to try and bust out of his slump.  Washington’s interior is not going to scare anybody and I look to see Hawkinson get back to his double double ways as he has 6 in his last 10 games.  He offers us 50 fantasy point upside at a price that has dropped down from a high of $9.5K.
 
  • Troy Williams, Indiana ($7,700) – I feel like we are on a first name basis, so I will refer to him as Troy.  He is a frequent member of my articles and for good reason.  I really love his game and before you know it, he’s put up a 30 fantasy point performance.  He goes to work and isn’t flashy about achieving his numbers.  Just know, that by the end of the game you are going to see something along the lines of 18 and 9.  He went for 33.5 fantasy points the last time these two teams met.
 
  • Savon Goodman, Arizona State ($7,500) – Goodman’s price is finally starting to sky rocket, but for great reason.  He has gone for 36.75 and 39.5 fantasy points over his last 2 and I do not see USC’s interior slowing him down today.  He has back to back double doubles and double digit rebounds in 3 straight games.  I think he has a good shot at going for 40 today against USC.
 
  • Austin Nichols, Memphis ($7,300) – Nichols returned early from an injured ankle and looked like he didn’t miss a game.  He went for 30.5 fantasy points in 38 minutes of action, while managing to put up 20 shots.  I do not necessarily see him jacking up 20 shots in this one, however he should be able to shoot better than the 7 for 20 that he had in the last game.  He has double double upside and should continue to see 14+ shots per game, which makes him a strong candidate for a 20 and 10 game.
 

 

Values

 
  • Kasey Wilson, UCF ($5,200) – The match-up with Memphis is not necessarily ideal for Wilson however the game should see a decent number of possessions and you can not argue with his fantasy point production of late. Over the last 3 he is averaging over 30 fantasy points per game with a high of 35.75 fantasy points.  Those 30+ points per game are coming while playing just over 29 minutes per game.
 
  • Shawn Kemp JR, Washington ($4,600) – This may be the only time you ever see me suggesting Kemp JR.  I think he is a below average player, however as we often say, somebody has to put up some points.  He doesn’t seem to have a monster game in him that will wow you, however he has been pretty consistent of late, hovering around 17 fantasy points per game.  I think he has a shot at around 20 this game and can certainly go for 13 and 8 to get you the 20+.  He is far from a sexy pick but one that I think will help you stack up the stud forwards a bit.
 
  • Tre Drye, Tulane ($4,000) – Drye is coming off of a nice double double and 29.25 fantasy point game.  He has shown flashes of ability to go for 18-20 fantasy points and at just $4K, I would not complain with an 8 and 8 type of game out of Drye.  I do not expect another near 30 fantasy point game out of him but would not be shocked with a 20.  His price has actually dropped $400 since the last time we got the chance to use him.
 

 

That’s what we have for today and hopefully its a great day for you guys.  Certainly hoping I can take down one of the March Mania Tournament qualifiers today and save me some stress!  Hit me up on twitter, @Razzle11Grinds, if you have any questions or even news to share.  I will certainly do my best to share injury news.