We will take a look at some of today’s top overall plays as well as some value plays to help you fit in your studs.  Today’s a big day on Draftkings, make sure you get in on some of the biggest CBB action of the season.

 

Tournament Alert

We have money up for grabs at all different price points today. Take your shots to be the big winner below in College hoops.

$20K Mega Full Court Press – $27 Entry

$15K Buzzer Beater – $2 Entry

Qualifiers for March Mania are filling quickly, so I figured I would get you guys the link so you can make sure to get your spots reserved. (these are for the late and later slates Saturday)

$100K March Mania Qualifier #8 – $20 Entry

$100K March Mania Qualifier #9 – $2 Entry

$100K March Mania Qualifier #10 – $5 Entry

 

Game Analysis

Saturday’s main slate brings us 12 games to work with.  We have a number of games with O/U’s in the 130’s and a few that creep into the mid 140’s.  We have a pretty wide range of players to choose from today and I think you certainly can find the ride combination of players today.  Let’s take a look at a handful of the guys I will be targeting today.

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GUARD TARGETS

Studs

 
  • D’Angelo Harrison, St. Johns ($8,800) – Last game for St. Johns saw 4 of their guards put up over 30 fantasy points. Wrap your head around that performance once!  We have seen this year that these guards can go nuts at any given time and that we also should ride the hot hand for a week or two.  That brings us to Harrison, who now appears to be fully healthy.  He has put up 45 and 51.5 fantasy points the last two and I look for him to put up an exceptional game today as well.
 
  • Denzel Valentine, Michigan State ($8,900) – Valentine can do just about everything on the court and has shown us nearly 50 point upside.  Michigan State has struggled a bit this year but I can see them coming to play against Ohio State and D’Angelo Russell in this one.  You’ll notice as you go down that I do not have Russell listed and that could be a mistake but in the same game, I want Valentine for $1.8K cheaper.  Not only is he cheaper, but I think he will outscore Russell from a fantasy perspective today.
 
  • Norman Powell, UCLA ($7,800) – Powell has shown us the ability to get hot in a hurry and carry the Bruins and I expect something along those lines in what will most likely be an up and down game against Oregon.  He is coming off two very sub-par games and will most likely go overlooked today.  I think he makes a great GPP choice for that reason.  Prior to the last two, he had been averaging over 4x value per game and I think this one he will be closer to 5x than 4x.
 
  • Joseph Young, Oregon ($9,500) – Want to roster a guard with nearly 60 fantasy point upside?  Your hand should be raised instantly.  Young’s price has never been higher, but for great reason.  He has been a shot machine of late and also is contributing in the assist and rebounds categories.  His floor in February has been 35 fantasy points and even though that is just under 4x, I feel his 6x upside is too much to pass up on.
 
  • Kenny Chery, Baylor ($6,400) – Chery’s price has come down a bit and I think this is a great time to buy low on a player with 40 point upside.  Chery is also coming off of two sup-par games and will look to bounce back in a game that is important for the No. 16 Bears.  His season average has him earning 3.5x on his current salary and I think that’s his floor today and feel like he’s in line for 28-35 fantasy points.
 

Values

 
  • Jordan Burgess, VCU ($4,400)  – If Treveon Graham is unable to go for VCU, I think Burgess is a plug’n’play option for today.  His usage rate has jumped up and he has been all over the boards.  Over the last two games he is averaging 10.5 shot attempts and 11.5 rebounds.  He hasn’t shot the ball very well and is only averaging 7 ppg over the last 2.  If he can find his shot a little bit in this one, I can see him returning you 7x value.  But like I said above, this pick is very much dependent on the status of Graham.
 
  • Justin Bibbs, Virginia Tech ($5,800) – Bibbs has been very inconsistent since returning from injury and that will keep his ownership level pretty low.  His price has dropped quite a bit the last few games and if you’ve noticed from above, I really like to target guys in that spot.  He has 40+ point upside and just three games ago he put up 33 fantasy points, which would be good enough for just under 6x return on his salary.
 
  • Rick Kreklow, Creighton ($5,700) – Kreklow is definitely not a house hold name but he has been performing like somebody you should know a little about.  His price has come up from $3K just a month ago but for good reason.  He has averaged just under 31 fantasy points over the last 2 games and thats good enough for 5.5x value. The Creighton-Marquette match-up is a tough one to predict as far as tempo goes as they both have shown the ability to speed up or slow down.  There is some value to be found in this game, especially if you think it will be a faster affair.
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FORWARD TARGETS

Studs

 
  • Rico Gathers, Baylor  ($9,100) – 7 double doubles over his last 10 games and an 8th with double digit rebounds.  Gathers is a rebounding machine and I look for that to continue today.  He certainly does not come cheap today, however his recent games have him basically averaging 4x value and I feel like he is about as safe as anybody to get you 35 fantasy points today vs the Jayhawks.
 
  • Jamel Artis, Pittsburgh ($8,400) – Over the last month, Artis’ price has nearly doubled as his production has shot up.  He struggled a bit last game against Harrell and Louisville but still managed to 3.5x his salary.  He has mid 40’s upside today against UNC.  I think Pitt will see a slight tempo boost today as it looks like UNC wants to get out and run a little bit more.
 
  • Karl Anthony Towns, Kentucky ($6,900) – What an interesting couple of weeks it has been.  It was universally known to avoid Kentucky players as they basically were relying on two 5 man rotations, however with injuries and such of late, Kentucky has somewhat gone away from that and we have seen Towns and Cauley-Stein really step up.  Towns’ price has definitely come up but for good reason and he has shown double doubles in 2 of his last 3 and nearing 40 point upside.  As always, he is a risk but definitely the high reward GPP pick we look for on this slate.
 
  • Jaron Blossomgame, Clemson ($7,000) – We have been waiting a couple of weeks for Jaron to show up and he certainly did his last time out with a stat line of 17-14-2 for 39.5 fantasy points.  He certainly has the ability to put up a dud today, however I believe he will look to feed off of his most recent game and certainly should be able to control the inside against Virginia Tech.
 
  • Jalen Reynolds, Xavier ($6,000) – Reynolds’ price has certainly come up as he was somebody written up somewhat often in value play sections.  His price has jumped up $600 after putting up just 18.75 fantasy points. He has shown 6x value upside and I think the pace of this game makes him a very intriguing option.
 

 

Values

 
  • Konstantinos Mitoglou, Wake Forest ($5,100) – Mitoglou has been shooting the ball very well recently and if Wake is to keep this game somewhat close, they are going to need him to continue his hot shooting.  He’s coming off of a 21 and 8 performance with 6 3’s.  I know Virginia is probably the best defense in the country and I hate to target players against them, but the fact that Mitoglou has been hot and the probable low ownership has me very interested.
 
  • Sheldon Jeter, Pittsburgh ($3,700) – This play is more or less contingent on the health of Cameron Wright.  The one thing about Jeter that scares me is his foul rate and against UNC that could be dangerous with the likes of Meeks and Brice Johnson, but the 25+ point upside at this price is just too good to pass up should Wright sit this one out.
 
  • Phil Cofer, Florida State ($3,800) – Over the last month or so we have seen Cofer put up a couple of big time games as well as some posterizing dunks.  He has 40 point upside but he also has a 4 point downside, making him very high risk high reward.  I am very intrigued by Cofer today and will certainly have some sort of exposure.
 

That’s what we have for today and hopefully its a great day for you guys.  Certainly hoping I can take down one of the March Mania Tournament qualifiers today and save me some stress!  Hit me up on twitter, @Razzle11Grinds, if you have any questions or even news to share.  I will certainly do my best to share injury news.