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Tonight brings us a nice 8 game slate and at first glance, I think tonight is going to go to those that put in a little more research than usual. There is not any games that stand out as must have exposure as the O/U’s fall between 118.5 and 136. 5 of the 8 games are the 2nd match-up of the season for the two teams, so we do have a little bit of information to base some plays off of, however make sure you do not use that as your only source. With that said, let’s take a look at who we want to target tonight.
- Tyrone Wallace, California ($9,100) – With the status of his back court mate, Jordan Mathews, up in the air, the scoring punch for Cal may fall into Wallace’s hands. He already is considered their best player and in injury situations, star players tend to step up. Lately he has only shown to have about 40 point upside which is just under 5x value, however he is very consistent and should not hurt you at all and should not have an issue hitting 4x tonight against Colorado. He is a very active guard and is not afraid to hit the boards and is able to get you a double double.
- Ryan Boatright, Connecticut ($8,900) – The last time these two teams faced off, Boatright was in a slight slump but he has shown the last few games he is back to playing at a high level and is capable of putting up nearly 50 fantasy points. Over his last 3, he is averaging 39 fantasy ppg. The only thing that scares me tonight is the fact that this game has the lowest total at 118.5.
- Anthony Brown, Stanford ($8,700) – Normally I do my best to avoid players going up against Utah’s defense, however tonight we see the Stanford-Utah game with a 134 O/U which happens to be one of the highest on the night. I waiver between Brown and Randle quite a bit but I always seem to side with Brown as he is capable of doing everything on the court as shown by his 1 double double and 4 other games of 9 rebounds over the last 10. I can see some choosing Randle over Brown as the $100 price difference can be a sticking point for some lineups. I look to see Brown put up something like 18-8-4 and a couple of 3’s for a 35 fantasy point performance.
- Nic Moore, SMU ($7,800) – Moore is somebody that the general public will just skip over and not even hesitate in doing so. I think that could be a big mistake tonight as he has his hand in everything for the Mustangs. The last game against Houston, Moore went for 42.25 fantasy points and basically has 6x Value upside. To me, his price is about $7-800 too low and I will definitely have a large share of him tonight.
- Spike Albrecht, Michigan ($5,600) – We have seen his price jump over the last 2 weeks however, in my opinion, it is too low and his recent game logs show that he is basically averaging 4.5x return at his current salary. Illinois is a 6.5 point favorite at home, however I think this one plays out closer than that and if Michigan manages to have the lead late, Spike is a money free throw shooter and should be able to add a few points late in what could be the last game to finish for the slate.
- Rashad Smith, Tulsa ($5,200) – Smith looks to be back to getting 30-35 minutes per game and has shown the ability to get double digit rebounds from the guard position which can be a key thing with that double double bonus. Of late, he has consistently been around the 4x value return and could easily get you to 5.5x tonight.
- Bishop Daniels, Rutgers ($4,300) – I think Daniels could be a sneaky sleeper value pick tonight against Purdue. This game has an O/U of 125 and the last time out, Daniels went for 29.25 fantasy points. I would not expect a near 7x return tonight, however I think he has a great chance at a 5x night and at $4.3K, will allow you some roster flexibility tonight.
- Aaron White, Iowa ($7,600) – I’ve been waiting for White to explode all season and while he has yet to do so, that break out performance could certainly come tonight in the game with the highest O/U at 136. The last meeting saw 152 points put on the board and both teams can find themselves in an up and down game. I do not think White is a spectacular cash game play but I feel like he could be very under owned and if he does show up with a 35+ fantasy point production, you could put yourself ahead as I do not think there are many F’s with 35+ point upside tonight.
- Dorian Finney-Smith, Florida ($6,800) – DFS (ironic, huh?) might be my favorite play of the slate. Last I heard, Michael Frazier was going to be out for Florida tonight and while that might open up some minutes for somebody in the back court, I think it opens up Finney-Smith to be a little more aggressive tonight. Normally Florida games are a bit slower but tonight this game has the 2nd highest O/U at 135.5 and these two teams put up 143 points recently. His price earlier was at $7,800 and I feel like that’d be a more accurate price for tonight’s slate and think that DFS will be on the roster of every GPP winner tonight.
- Jarrod Uthoff, Iowa ($6,500) – Uthoff is my second Hawkeye at the F position and can make a case that he might be the better GPP over White. He has shown the ability to put up 35+ point fantasy games and did so the last time Iowa and Minnesota took the court against each other. He is a great GPP option however he does somewhat disappear on the court at times. This game should be a little more up-tempo and I feel like will be played in the 140’s and not the 130’s tonight and Uthoff is at his best in these kinds of match-ups.
- Yanick Moreira, SMU ($6,400) – Yanick is very capable of getting you that double double bonus from the F position tonight. He is coming off of a 33.75 fantasy point performance and has shown against Houston he is capable of nearly that same performance as well. Overall I am a big fan of Markus Kennedy but for just $300 more I can get a little more performance from a guy that does not necessarily have to have the ball in his hands.
- Josh Scott, Colorado ($5,900) – Scott returned from a month absence to face Utah’s very solid defense and was able to put up 20.25 fantasy points in just 23 minutes of action. I do not think Scott will jump back up to his 35 mpg average yet, however I can see a boost up to 28 minutes or so tonight which could put him in position for 25+ fantasy points which will more than pay off his depressed salary. Realize that his salary prior to missing games was sitting at $7,300.
- Danrad Knowles, Houston ($5,200) – Knowles has shown the ability this year to go for nearly 40 fantasy points and at $5.2K, I will take that every day, no real questions asked. His price has dropped $1K from his last game against Tulsa. He seems to be struggling slightly right now but still put up 18 fantasy points against Tulsa and I think tonight is a great time to buy low.
- D’Andre Wright, Tulsa ($4,700) – Wright is playing some solid basketball right now and at $4.7K, we are only looking to get about 18 fantasy points from him tonight against UCONN. The last 2 he has averaged 21.75 fantasy points along with taking 10 shots per game. I think he is a great sub $5K option to plug in to help you stud up at the G position.
Good luck tonight everybody and hopefully one of us will be able to take down one of the first March Mania Qualifiers tonight. Hit me up on twitter, @Razzle11Grinds and let me know how you are doing and I will certainly do my best to share any injury/suspension news!!