And the Elite Eight is here! Ready for some awesome CBB Action? I know I am and let’s take a look at some of the plays we want to target this weekend.
We have money up for grabs at all different price points today. Take your shots to be the big winner below in college hoops.
Saturday’s slate brings us Arizona taking on Wisconsin in a game that has the #2 seeded Arizona Wildcats favored by a point with an O/U of 132.5. This game should be extremely exciting as it is a rematch of last year’s Elite Eight OT game won by Wisconsin. The other game for today is Notre Dame taking on Kentucky in a game with an O/U of 136.5 with Kentucky being favored by 11. Sunday’s action starts out with Michigan St being a 2 point favorite against Louisville with an O/U of 128.5. The final game of the weekend will feature Gonzaga taking on Duke, with Duke being a 2.5 point favorite in a game with an O/U of 146.5 which is the highest of the weekend.
Terry Rozier, Louisville ($8,600) – Over his last 2 games, Rozier has put up 84.75 fantasy points and has arguably been the best player in the entire NCAA tournament thus far. This game does offer us the lowest O/U of the 4 games, however that has generally been the case for Louisville games all season and because they play so few guys it does not necessarily negatively affect guys like Rozier, Blackshear, Snider and Harrell.
Denzel Valentine, Michigan St ($8,600) – Valentine really turned it on in the second half last night against Oklahoma and finished the game with 31.75 fantasy points thanks to an 18-7-2 line. He has gone for 31.75+ in three of his last 4 games and has shown us an ability to go for 42+ a couple times over his ten games. I like Valentine a bit more than Trice because of his ability to hit the boards.
T.J. McConnell, Arizona ($7,800) – McConnell has gone for 69.75 fantasy points over his last two and Arizona is going to need him to be on his game in this one against Wisconsin. McConnell was on last years Elite Eight team that got knocked off by Wisconsin in OT and he will certainly have a little more motivation. He has gotten up 9 threes over his last 2 and that is one way for a team to beat Wisconsin as they are susceptible to the triple.
Tyus Jones, Duke ($7,700) – Tyus has not been all too spectacular of late, however he showed at the end of the Utah game why it’s always a great thing to target the PG of the team that is favorited in a close game as he finished the game making 9 of 10 free throw attempts and really salvaged his evening. I was torn between Jones and Quinn as far as who to put here as this game has the highest O/U, but the fact that Quinn is probably going to be guarded by Bell Jr has me leaning Jones.
Quentin Snider, Louisville ($5,000) – Snider out performed his teammate, Wayne Blackshear, last night and I can not say I am surprised. Over his three tournament games so far, Snider has put up 66.5 fantasy points while taking a total of 33 shots. He is definitely a part of the Louisville offense and is going to put up 4+ three attempts in this one. I think he is pretty safe to hit the 20 fantasy point mark which is exactly 4x value.
Tyler Ulis, Kentucky ($4,600) – Ulis really let everybody down the other night as he managed to put up just 10.5 fantasy points as he ended up with just 26 minutes played and 4 fouls. It also did not help that the game was a blow out from the opening tip and he wasn’t necessarily needed to run the offense to true efficiency. In his 4 previous games, he had ranged between 18.25 and 21.75. He had been an ultra safe punt play and I am certainly going back to the well tonight.
Gary Bell Jr, Gonzaga ($4,500) – Bell really let a number of people down last night as he finished with just 9 fantasy points thanks to 4 fouls and missing all 5 of his three point attempts. He had put up 60.25 fantasy points in his previous 3 games and I think he gets back closer to 20 fantasy points tomorrow than to 10. This game is going to be the highest scoring game of the weekend and getting guys like Bell who play a lot of minutes is going to be key to be able to roster guys like Rozier, Winslow, Okafor, Valentine.
Frank Kaminksy, Wisconsin ($9,900) – Kaminsky put up 28 and 11 last year in the Elite Eight game against Arizona and his game has grown a lot since then and Arizona just does not offer a defender that can really contain him tonight. He is obviously the Badgers’ best player but seems to have played second fiddle to Dekker/Hayes in the last couple of games but big time players show up in big time games. I think Kaminsky offers us 45 fantasy point upside tonight.
Jahlil Okafor, Duke ($9,600) – I was not going to include Okafor as he definitely burned a lot of people last night against Utah as he put up just 16 fantasy points. I think Gonzaga offers some similar size inside to Utah, however I think Okafor bounces back and makes for a great GPP play as I think he is going to be very low owned as his teammate, Winslow, has been playing lights out.
Justise Winslow, Duke ($8,500) – How can we ignore Winslow’s first three NCAA tournament games as he has grabbed double digit rebounds in all 3 games while scoring in double figures in 2 of those 3. He has basically scored 31+ fantasy points in each of the last 4 games. I think he is the best play from this game and should be able to get back to the 31+ point area.
Sam Dekker, Wisconsin ($7,000) – Dekker is coming off of a 39 fantasy point performance and has put up 90.25 fantasy points over his 3 NCAA tournament games. He is averaging 20 real game points while taking 14 shots per game over those games. Dekker is playing extremely aggressively right now and I think he makes a great play at just $7K tonight.
Domantas Sabonis, Gonzaga ($5,500) – I am a huge fan of Sabonis again as he just comes into the game and contributes and should be a near lock for 20+ fantasy points in this high scoring game. He has 96 fantasy points over his last 4 games while averaging just about 22 minutes per game. He has the best rebounding rate on Gonzaga and offers us 16 and 10 type upside.
Kaleb Tarczewski, Arizona ($4,900) – Tarczewski is not the sexiest of picks as his offensive game is somewhat limited but he has been playing extremely well as he has 69 fantasy points over his last 3 games and is coming off of a 28.5 fantasy point performance thanks to a 12 and 12 double double. His price went up just $200 and in last years game against Wisconsin on Elite Eight weekend he went for 12 points and 4 rebounds. His rebound number was low thanks to his teammate, Aaron Gordon, grabbing 18 of them.
Matt Costello, Michigan St ($3,900) – Costello finds his way onto my value play list again today, even after putting up just 5.75 fantasy points in 15 minutes against Oklahoma. He got himself into foul trouble and I think he bounces back to the 15-18 fantasy point range on Sunday. He offers us 25 fantasy point upside as he is capable of grabbing 6+ rebounds while scoring 12+ points. He is an energy guy off the bench that averages about 26 minutes of action per game.
That’s what we have for today, and hopefully its a great day for you guys. Hit me up on twitter (@Razzle11Grinds) if you have any questions or even news to share. I will certainly do my best to share injury news.